Recent forecast updates from European and global models indicate a shift to cooler, clearer conditions over Milan following midweek thunderstorms, driving the near-even market-implied odds between a minimum of 12°C or below (45.0%) and 22°C or higher (44.5%). Nocturnal radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover and light northerly winds supports trader focus on lows near 16–18°C, consistent with GFS and ECMWF guidance showing 16–17°C overnight into September 11. Model spread arises from variable timing of high pressure building and residual moisture, creating genuine uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds. Historical September baselines place typical overnight lows near 14–16°C, underscoring how small shifts in steering patterns or dew points could tip resolution. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological briefings expected within 48 hours remain key catalysts for position adjustments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Milan on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 11?
12°C or below 92%
22°C or higher 90%
16°C 40%
17°C 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
12°C or below
92%
13°C
21%
14°C
22%
15°C
25%
16°C
40%
17°C
37%
18°C
20%
19°C
20%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C or higher
90%
12°C or below 92%
22°C or higher 90%
16°C 40%
17°C 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
92%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
37%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
37%
21°C
$0 Vol.
37%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from European and global models indicate a shift to cooler, clearer conditions over Milan following midweek thunderstorms, driving the near-even market-implied odds between a minimum of 12°C or below (45.0%) and 22°C or higher (44.5%). Nocturnal radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover and light northerly winds supports trader focus on lows near 16–18°C, consistent with GFS and ECMWF guidance showing 16–17°C overnight into September 11. Model spread arises from variable timing of high pressure building and residual moisture, creating genuine uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds. Historical September baselines place typical overnight lows near 14–16°C, underscoring how small shifts in steering patterns or dew points could tip resolution. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological briefings expected within 48 hours remain key catalysts for position adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from European and global models indicate a shift to cooler, clearer conditions over Milan following midweek thunderstorms, driving the near-even market-implied odds between a minimum of 12°C or below (45.0%) and 22°C or higher (44.5%). Nocturnal radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover and light northerly winds supports trader focus on lows near 16–18°C, consistent with GFS and ECMWF guidance showing 16–17°C overnight into September 11. Model spread arises from variable timing of high pressure building and residual moisture, creating genuine uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds. Historical September baselines place typical overnight lows near 14–16°C, underscoring how small shifts in steering patterns or dew points could tip resolution. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological briefings expected within 48 hours remain key catalysts for position adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from European and global models indicate a shift to cooler, clearer conditions over Milan following midweek thunderstorms, driving the near-even market-implied odds between a minimum of 12°C or below (45.0%) and 22°C or higher (44.5%). Nocturnal radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover and light northerly winds supports trader focus on lows near 16–18°C, consistent with GFS and ECMWF guidance showing 16–17°C overnight into September 11. Model spread arises from variable timing of high pressure building and residual moisture, creating genuine uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds. Historical September baselines place typical overnight lows near 14–16°C, underscoring how small shifts in steering patterns or dew points could tip resolution. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological briefings expected within 48 hours remain key catalysts for position adjustments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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