Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 27 will likely reach 10–12°C under a Scandinavian anticyclone promoting clear skies and efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This setup, with light northerly winds and dew points near 8–10°C, favors minimum temperatures near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of ~12°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, keeping most runs clustered around 11°C, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit cooling to 12–13°C. Trader focus on sub-9°C outcomes reflects awareness of occasional model underestimation of clear-night radiative losses in early-autumn high-pressure regimes, though official guidance through August 25 points to resolution near 10–11°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Moscow on August 27?
6°C or below 81%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
7°C 48%
6°C or below
81%
7°C
48%
8°C
50%
9°C
44%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
50%
13°C
45%
14°C
18%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
31%
6°C or below 81%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
7°C 48%
6°C or below
81%
7°C
48%
8°C
50%
9°C
44%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
50%
13°C
45%
14°C
18%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 27 will likely reach 10–12°C under a Scandinavian anticyclone promoting clear skies and efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This setup, with light northerly winds and dew points near 8–10°C, favors minimum temperatures near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of ~12°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, keeping most runs clustered around 11°C, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit cooling to 12–13°C. Trader focus on sub-9°C outcomes reflects awareness of occasional model underestimation of clear-night radiative losses in early-autumn high-pressure regimes, though official guidance through August 25 points to resolution near 10–11°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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