Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA show moderate uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over Munich, with model spreads driven by variable cloud cover, light winds, and a weak high-pressure ridge. This has produced closely matched market-implied odds, with 11°C leading at 47% and 19°C-or-higher at 42.5%, as traders weigh the potential for clearer skies versus incoming moisture that could raise minima. Typical early-September baselines near 10–15°C anchor the distribution, while the next 24-hour model updates and local observations will sharpen resolution criteria for the lowest temperature recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Munich on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 2?
19°C or higher 81%
9°C or below 66%
14°C 61%
11°C 47%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
66%
10°C
43%
11°C
47%
12°C
18%
13°C
33%
14°C
61%
15°C
15%
16°C
13%
17°C
13%
18°C
13%
19°C or higher
81%
19°C or higher 81%
9°C or below 66%
14°C 61%
11°C 47%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
$13 Vol.
66%
10°C
$0 Vol.
43%
11°C
$0 Vol.
47%
12°C
$0 Vol.
18%
13°C
$0 Vol.
33%
14°C
$0 Vol.
61%
15°C
$5 Vol.
15%
16°C
$5 Vol.
13%
17°C
$5 Vol.
13%
18°C
$5 Vol.
13%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA show moderate uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over Munich, with model spreads driven by variable cloud cover, light winds, and a weak high-pressure ridge. This has produced closely matched market-implied odds, with 11°C leading at 47% and 19°C-or-higher at 42.5%, as traders weigh the potential for clearer skies versus incoming moisture that could raise minima. Typical early-September baselines near 10–15°C anchor the distribution, while the next 24-hour model updates and local observations will sharpen resolution criteria for the lowest temperature recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$38Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA show moderate uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over Munich, with model spreads driven by variable cloud cover, light winds, and a weak high-pressure ridge. This has produced closely matched market-implied odds, with 11°C leading at 47% and 19°C-or-higher at 42.5%, as traders weigh the potential for clearer skies versus incoming moisture that could raise minima. Typical early-September baselines near 10–15°C anchor the distribution, while the next 24-hour model updates and local observations will sharpen resolution criteria for the lowest temperature recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA show moderate uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over Munich, with model spreads driven by variable cloud cover, light winds, and a weak high-pressure ridge. This has produced closely matched market-implied odds, with 11°C leading at 47% and 19°C-or-higher at 42.5%, as traders weigh the potential for clearer skies versus incoming moisture that could raise minima. Typical early-September baselines near 10–15°C anchor the distribution, while the next 24-hour model updates and local observations will sharpen resolution criteria for the lowest temperature recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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