**Recent model consensus from INMET and international guidance points to modest cold advection ahead of an oceanic cold front, supporting overnight lows near 11–12°C in São Paulo on August 22 and anchoring trader probabilities around those bins.** Clear skies overnight would enhance radiative cooling at the surface while the urban heat island at official stations like Mirante de Santana moderates readings, creating tight differentiation between 10°C, 11°C, and 12°C outcomes. Light showers or variable wind could limit further cooling, whereas stronger subsidence or drier air would favor the lower end. Updated morning model runs and INMET briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely matched market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 22?
11°C 53%
12°C 52%
13°C 27%
14°C or higher 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
4°C or below
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
24%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
39%
12°C
36%
13°C
27%
14°C or higher
27%
11°C 53%
12°C 52%
13°C 27%
14°C or higher 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
4°C or below
$32 Vol.
1%
5°C
$22 Vol.
1%
6°C
$37 Vol.
1%
7°C
$22 Vol.
3%
8°C
$0 Vol.
24%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$18 Vol.
39%
12°C
$1 Vol.
36%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C or higher
$0 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus from INMET and international guidance points to modest cold advection ahead of an oceanic cold front, supporting overnight lows near 11–12°C in São Paulo on August 22 and anchoring trader probabilities around those bins.** Clear skies overnight would enhance radiative cooling at the surface while the urban heat island at official stations like Mirante de Santana moderates readings, creating tight differentiation between 10°C, 11°C, and 12°C outcomes. Light showers or variable wind could limit further cooling, whereas stronger subsidence or drier air would favor the lower end. Updated morning model runs and INMET briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely matched market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volume
$132Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus from INMET and international guidance points to modest cold advection ahead of an oceanic cold front, supporting overnight lows near 11–12°C in São Paulo on August 22 and anchoring trader probabilities around those bins.** Clear skies overnight would enhance radiative cooling at the surface while the urban heat island at official stations like Mirante de Santana moderates readings, creating tight differentiation between 10°C, 11°C, and 12°C outcomes. Light showers or variable wind could limit further cooling, whereas stronger subsidence or drier air would favor the lower end. Updated morning model runs and INMET briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely matched market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$132Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus from INMET and international guidance points to modest cold advection ahead of an oceanic cold front, supporting overnight lows near 11–12°C in São Paulo on August 22 and anchoring trader probabilities around those bins.** Clear skies overnight would enhance radiative cooling at the surface while the urban heat island at official stations like Mirante de Santana moderates readings, creating tight differentiation between 10°C, 11°C, and 12°C outcomes. Light showers or variable wind could limit further cooling, whereas stronger subsidence or drier air would favor the lower end. Updated morning model runs and INMET briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely matched market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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