Recent official forecasts from INMET and international models indicate a weak cold front passage near the coast around August 23–25, introducing cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover that could enhance overnight radiational cooling in São Paulo. This setup supports the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on a 9°C or lower minimum, while the tight clustering around 13–14°C outcomes (30–31.5%) reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact boundary-layer conditions, wind speeds, and urban heat retention. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 13°C, but model consensus currently favors modestly below-average readings without strong high-pressure reinforcement. Updated NWP runs and INMET's next briefing on the 25th will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 25?
9°C or below 69%
10°C 47%
14°C 32%
13°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
69%
10°C
47%
11°C
23%
12°C
25%
13°C
29%
14°C
32%
15°C
27%
16°C
24%
17°C
11%
18°C
18%
19°C or higher
2%
9°C or below 69%
10°C 47%
14°C 32%
13°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
69%
10°C
$5 Vol.
47%
11°C
$1 Vol.
23%
12°C
$1 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
29%
14°C
$0 Vol.
32%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
24%
17°C
$0 Vol.
11%
18°C
$5 Vol.
18%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from INMET and international models indicate a weak cold front passage near the coast around August 23–25, introducing cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover that could enhance overnight radiational cooling in São Paulo. This setup supports the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on a 9°C or lower minimum, while the tight clustering around 13–14°C outcomes (30–31.5%) reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact boundary-layer conditions, wind speeds, and urban heat retention. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 13°C, but model consensus currently favors modestly below-average readings without strong high-pressure reinforcement. Updated NWP runs and INMET's next briefing on the 25th will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$22Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from INMET and international models indicate a weak cold front passage near the coast around August 23–25, introducing cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover that could enhance overnight radiational cooling in São Paulo. This setup supports the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on a 9°C or lower minimum, while the tight clustering around 13–14°C outcomes (30–31.5%) reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact boundary-layer conditions, wind speeds, and urban heat retention. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 13°C, but model consensus currently favors modestly below-average readings without strong high-pressure reinforcement. Updated NWP runs and INMET's next briefing on the 25th will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from INMET and international models indicate a weak cold front passage near the coast around August 23–25, introducing cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover that could enhance overnight radiational cooling in São Paulo. This setup supports the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on a 9°C or lower minimum, while the tight clustering around 13–14°C outcomes (30–31.5%) reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact boundary-layer conditions, wind speeds, and urban heat retention. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 13°C, but model consensus currently favors modestly below-average readings without strong high-pressure reinforcement. Updated NWP runs and INMET's next briefing on the 25th will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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