Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's August 25 high temperature centers on the city's late-winter climatology, with average highs near 21–23 °C according to long-term observations. The market distribution, peaking at 21 °C, reflects this baseline while capturing uncertainty from short-term variables such as cloud cover, which limits surface solar heating, and potential cold-front passages that could suppress maxima toward 19–20 °C. Clearer, drier conditions under high pressure might allow 22–23 °C by enhancing daytime insolation, whereas stronger winds or higher humidity would moderate peaks. Model consensus from agencies like INMET shows typical late-August variability of several degrees, explaining the spread across outcomes and the low probabilities assigned to extremes outside the historical 18–24 °C envelope.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 25?
21°C 33%
22°C 22%
20°C 17%
19°C 12%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
12%
20°C
17%
21°C
33%
22°C
22%
23°C
12%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
21°C 33%
22°C 22%
20°C 17%
19°C 12%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
12%
20°C
17%
21°C
33%
22°C
22%
23°C
12%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's August 25 high temperature centers on the city's late-winter climatology, with average highs near 21–23 °C according to long-term observations. The market distribution, peaking at 21 °C, reflects this baseline while capturing uncertainty from short-term variables such as cloud cover, which limits surface solar heating, and potential cold-front passages that could suppress maxima toward 19–20 °C. Clearer, drier conditions under high pressure might allow 22–23 °C by enhancing daytime insolation, whereas stronger winds or higher humidity would moderate peaks. Model consensus from agencies like INMET shows typical late-August variability of several degrees, explaining the spread across outcomes and the low probabilities assigned to extremes outside the historical 18–24 °C envelope.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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