Recent forecasts from major numerical weather models show Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14, 2026, stabilizing near 20°C under persistent cloud cover and light precipitation typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, aligning closely with climatological June lows of 20–22°C recorded at official stations. The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects strong consensus across ensemble runs and real-time observations, with only narrow uncertainty in the final hours before the daily minimum is recorded. A sudden break in cloud cover allowing stronger nocturnal cooling or an unexpected shift in steering winds could push the reading to 19°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$58,503 Vol.
$58,503 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$58,503 Vol.
$58,503 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
17°C or below
$2,921 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,583 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,780 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5,350 Vol.
99%
21°C
$6,849 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,849 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$8,138 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,002 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,679 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,257 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$2,811 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major numerical weather models show Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14, 2026, stabilizing near 20°C under persistent cloud cover and light precipitation typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, aligning closely with climatological June lows of 20–22°C recorded at official stations. The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects strong consensus across ensemble runs and real-time observations, with only narrow uncertainty in the final hours before the daily minimum is recorded. A sudden break in cloud cover allowing stronger nocturnal cooling or an unexpected shift in steering winds could push the reading to 19°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$58,503Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major numerical weather models show Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14, 2026, stabilizing near 20°C under persistent cloud cover and light precipitation typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, aligning closely with climatological June lows of 20–22°C recorded at official stations. The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects strong consensus across ensemble runs and real-time observations, with only narrow uncertainty in the final hours before the daily minimum is recorded. A sudden break in cloud cover allowing stronger nocturnal cooling or an unexpected shift in steering winds could push the reading to 19°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,503Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major numerical weather models show Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14, 2026, stabilizing near 20°C under persistent cloud cover and light precipitation typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, aligning closely with climatological June lows of 20–22°C recorded at official stations. The overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects strong consensus across ensemble runs and real-time observations, with only narrow uncertainty in the final hours before the daily minimum is recorded. A sudden break in cloud cover allowing stronger nocturnal cooling or an unexpected shift in steering winds could push the reading to 19°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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