Recent forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 5 indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C under clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with typical early-September Mediterranean conditions and supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 24°C (44.5%) versus 30°C or higher (46.0%). Model consensus from multiple sources shows minimal day-to-day variability, with dew points near 21–23°C and no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover expected to drive further cooling or warming. This narrow range reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum timing and local microclimates rather than major atmospheric shifts, as historical September minima average 22–25°C. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5?
30°C or higher 88%
20°C or below 84%
25°C 48%
21°C 47%
20°C or below
84%
21°C
47%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
42%
25°C
48%
26°C
47%
27°C
47%
28°C
47%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
88%
30°C or higher 88%
20°C or below 84%
25°C 48%
21°C 47%
20°C or below
84%
21°C
47%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
42%
25°C
48%
26°C
47%
27°C
47%
28°C
47%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 5 indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C under clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with typical early-September Mediterranean conditions and supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 24°C (44.5%) versus 30°C or higher (46.0%). Model consensus from multiple sources shows minimal day-to-day variability, with dew points near 21–23°C and no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover expected to drive further cooling or warming. This narrow range reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum timing and local microclimates rather than major atmospheric shifts, as historical September minima average 22–25°C. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan