Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on August 21 will reach approximately 16°C overnight or in early morning hours, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and no significant cold advection. This aligns with seasonal norms where August lows typically range 12–17°C, and recent hourly guidance shows temperatures bottoming near 16–18°C before daytime warming to 24–26°C. Trader consensus at 97% for 16°C reflects confidence in these short-range outputs from numerical weather prediction systems, with resolution likely based on official station readings. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted radiative cooling could push the actual minimum lower, though model agreement limits that probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 21?
16°C 97%
14°C 2%
15°C 2%
12°C or below <1%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
97%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 97%
14°C 2%
15°C 2%
12°C or below <1%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
97%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on August 21 will reach approximately 16°C overnight or in early morning hours, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and no significant cold advection. This aligns with seasonal norms where August lows typically range 12–17°C, and recent hourly guidance shows temperatures bottoming near 16–18°C before daytime warming to 24–26°C. Trader consensus at 97% for 16°C reflects confidence in these short-range outputs from numerical weather prediction systems, with resolution likely based on official station readings. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted radiative cooling could push the actual minimum lower, though model agreement limits that probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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