Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Wuhan's September 20 minimum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Subtropical humidity and residual summer warmth limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the absence of a strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky conditions keeps the floor well above 18 °C. At the same time, daytime maxima near 29–30 °C and lingering moisture make a 28 °C-or-higher low unlikely. The near-even split between the two leading contracts reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing rather than any fundamental shift in the synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?
28°C or higher 83%
18°C or below 81%
22°C 45%
25°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
81%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
25%
22°C
45%
23°C
21%
24°C
38%
25°C
39%
26°C
38%
27°C
38%
28°C or higher
83%
28°C or higher 83%
18°C or below 81%
22°C 45%
25°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
81%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
21%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$16 Vol.
45%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
38%
27°C
$0 Vol.
38%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Wuhan's September 20 minimum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Subtropical humidity and residual summer warmth limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the absence of a strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky conditions keeps the floor well above 18 °C. At the same time, daytime maxima near 29–30 °C and lingering moisture make a 28 °C-or-higher low unlikely. The near-even split between the two leading contracts reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing rather than any fundamental shift in the synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Wuhan's September 20 minimum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Subtropical humidity and residual summer warmth limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the absence of a strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky conditions keeps the floor well above 18 °C. At the same time, daytime maxima near 29–30 °C and lingering moisture make a 28 °C-or-higher low unlikely. The near-even split between the two leading contracts reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing rather than any fundamental shift in the synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Wuhan's September 20 minimum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Subtropical humidity and residual summer warmth limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the absence of a strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky conditions keeps the floor well above 18 °C. At the same time, daytime maxima near 29–30 °C and lingering moisture make a 28 °C-or-higher low unlikely. The near-even split between the two leading contracts reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing rather than any fundamental shift in the synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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