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Pemilihan Umum·New Caledonia Election

Next President of New Caledonia

icon for Next President of New Caledonia
Pemilihan Umum·New Caledonia Election

Next President of New Caledonia

Alcide Ponga 54%

Sonia Backès 18%

Johanito Wamytan 7%

Virginie Ruffenach 5.2%

Polymarket

$13,874 Vol.

Alcide Ponga 54%

Sonia Backès 18%

Johanito Wamytan 7%

Virginie Ruffenach 5.2%

Polymarket

$13,874 Vol.

icon for Alcide Ponga

Alcide Ponga

$7,678 Vol.

54%

icon for Sonia Backès

Sonia Backès

$1,830 Vol.

18%

icon for Johanito Wamytan

Johanito Wamytan

$276 Vol.

7%

icon for Virginie Ruffenach

Virginie Ruffenach

$196 Vol.

5%

icon for Pierre Chanel Tutugoro

Pierre Chanel Tutugoro

$2,030 Vol.

5%

icon for Louis Mapou

Louis Mapou

$223 Vol.

3%

icon for Milakulo Tukumuli

Milakulo Tukumuli

$205 Vol.

3%

icon for Nicolas Metzdorf

Nicolas Metzdorf

$148 Vol.

3%

icon for Paul Néaoutyine

Paul Néaoutyine

$219 Vol.

3%

icon for Jean Pierre Djaïwé

Jean Pierre Djaïwé

$206 Vol.

3%

icon for Christopher Gygès

Christopher Gygès

$206 Vol.

2%

icon for Pascal Sawa

Pascal Sawa

$203 Vol.

2%

icon for Gil Brial

Gil Brial

$205 Vol.

1%

icon for Gilbert Tyuienon

Gilbert Tyuienon

$251 Vol.

1%

The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The June 28 provincial elections, which will determine the makeup of New Caledonia’s Congress and its next government president, remain highly fragmented with no bloc holding a clear path to a majority. Recent voter-roll adjustments, the rejection of the Bougival Accord by key independence groups, and lingering effects of the 2024 unrest have kept loyalist and pro-independence lists competitive across provinces. Incumbent Alcide Ponga’s current administration provides continuity for some traders, while multiple lists headed by figures such as Sonia Backès, Virginie Ruffenach, Louis Mapou, and Pierre-Chanel Tutugoro reflect ongoing coalition negotiations and the collegial selection process for the government president. With polls just days away and post-election talks scheduled for July, the balanced pricing captures uncertainty over final seat distributions and potential cross-bloc deals.

The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,874
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 23, 2026, 9:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The June 28 provincial elections, which will determine the makeup of New Caledonia’s Congress and its next government president, remain highly fragmented with no bloc holding a clear path to a majority. Recent voter-roll adjustments, the rejection of the Bougival Accord by key independence groups, and lingering effects of the 2024 unrest have kept loyalist and pro-independence lists competitive across provinces. Incumbent Alcide Ponga’s current administration provides continuity for some traders, while multiple lists headed by figures such as Sonia Backès, Virginie Ruffenach, Louis Mapou, and Pierre-Chanel Tutugoro reflect ongoing coalition negotiations and the collegial selection process for the government president. With polls just days away and post-election talks scheduled for July, the balanced pricing captures uncertainty over final seat distributions and potential cross-bloc deals.

The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,874
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 23, 2026, 9:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next President of New Caledonia" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 14 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Alcide Ponga" di 54%, diikuti oleh "Sonia Backès" di 18%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 54¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 54% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next President of New Caledonia" telah menghasilkan $13.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 23, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next President of New Caledonia," jelajahi 14 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next President of New Caledonia" adalah "Alcide Ponga" di 54%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 54% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Sonia Backès" di 18%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next President of New Caledonia" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.