With only about 0.5 inches of precipitation recorded in New York City through mid-June against a 4.5-inch monthly normal, traders favor totals in the 2–4 inch range as the dominant sentiment. Early-month high pressure and suppressed moisture have kept measurable rain days minimal, while long-range guidance points to moderate thunderstorm chances ahead amid above-average temperatures. Model consensus remains split on whether late-month convective activity can deliver the 2–3 inches needed for the leading 3–4 inch bin versus staying drier. Resolution hinges on National Weather Service forecast updates and any organized systems that develop before month-end, with historical June variability underscoring the uncertainty in remaining accumulation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPrecipitation in NYC in June?
4-5" 43%
3-4" 32%
>6" 19%
2-3" 14%
<2"
29%
2-3"
35%
3-4"
32%
4-5"
27%
5-6"
13%
>6"
19%
4-5" 43%
3-4" 32%
>6" 19%
2-3" 14%
<2"
29%
2-3"
35%
3-4"
32%
4-5"
27%
5-6"
13%
>6"
19%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With only about 0.5 inches of precipitation recorded in New York City through mid-June against a 4.5-inch monthly normal, traders favor totals in the 2–4 inch range as the dominant sentiment. Early-month high pressure and suppressed moisture have kept measurable rain days minimal, while long-range guidance points to moderate thunderstorm chances ahead amid above-average temperatures. Model consensus remains split on whether late-month convective activity can deliver the 2–3 inches needed for the leading 3–4 inch bin versus staying drier. Resolution hinges on National Weather Service forecast updates and any organized systems that develop before month-end, with historical June variability underscoring the uncertainty in remaining accumulation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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