Russia’s political system under President Vladimir Putin has shown no signs of an organized coup attempt through mid-August 2026, underpinning the 93.5% trader consensus for “No.” Putin’s 2024 reelection and constitutional term extension to 2036 have reinforced centralized authoritarian control, with elite networks appearing balanced and no designated successor or evident fractures emerging. State pollster approval ratings have remained elevated near or above 70% despite wartime strains, while detentions of critical milbloggers and tightened Federal Protective Service measures since earlier 2026 reports illustrate effective suppression of dissent without triggering institutional shifts or high-level defections. Recent military reshuffles and focus on Ukraine operations have produced no visible power struggles. Traders price the continued absence of concrete precursors—such as open military challenges or public elite conflicts—as decisive through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui7% peluang
$126,085 Vol.
$126,085 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% peluang
$126,085 Vol.
$126,085 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia’s political system under President Vladimir Putin has shown no signs of an organized coup attempt through mid-August 2026, underpinning the 93.5% trader consensus for “No.” Putin’s 2024 reelection and constitutional term extension to 2036 have reinforced centralized authoritarian control, with elite networks appearing balanced and no designated successor or evident fractures emerging. State pollster approval ratings have remained elevated near or above 70% despite wartime strains, while detentions of critical milbloggers and tightened Federal Protective Service measures since earlier 2026 reports illustrate effective suppression of dissent without triggering institutional shifts or high-level defections. Recent military reshuffles and focus on Ukraine operations have produced no visible power struggles. Traders price the continued absence of concrete precursors—such as open military challenges or public elite conflicts—as decisive through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$126,085Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia’s political system under President Vladimir Putin has shown no signs of an organized coup attempt through mid-August 2026, underpinning the 93.5% trader consensus for “No.” Putin’s 2024 reelection and constitutional term extension to 2036 have reinforced centralized authoritarian control, with elite networks appearing balanced and no designated successor or evident fractures emerging. State pollster approval ratings have remained elevated near or above 70% despite wartime strains, while detentions of critical milbloggers and tightened Federal Protective Service measures since earlier 2026 reports illustrate effective suppression of dissent without triggering institutional shifts or high-level defections. Recent military reshuffles and focus on Ukraine operations have produced no visible power struggles. Traders price the continued absence of concrete precursors—such as open military challenges or public elite conflicts—as decisive through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$126,085Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia’s political system under President Vladimir Putin has shown no signs of an organized coup attempt through mid-August 2026, underpinning the 93.5% trader consensus for “No.” Putin’s 2024 reelection and constitutional term extension to 2036 have reinforced centralized authoritarian control, with elite networks appearing balanced and no designated successor or evident fractures emerging. State pollster approval ratings have remained elevated near or above 70% despite wartime strains, while detentions of critical milbloggers and tightened Federal Protective Service measures since earlier 2026 reports illustrate effective suppression of dissent without triggering institutional shifts or high-level defections. Recent military reshuffles and focus on Ukraine operations have produced no visible power struggles. Traders price the continued absence of concrete precursors—such as open military challenges or public elite conflicts—as decisive through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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