United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched control over single-member districts, administrative resources, and party-list mechanisms within Russia's managed electoral system. The ruling party benefits from high name recognition tied to the presidential administration, recent internal restructuring to centralize operations ahead of the vote, and the marginalization of non-systemic opposition through legal and regulatory barriers. Systemic parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, LDPR, and others face limited independent media access and voter mobilization constraints, resulting in persistently low polling shares. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the predictable mechanics of the hybrid regime, where only major unforeseen disruptions—such as sudden elite fractures, sharp economic deterioration, or battlefield reversals—could realistically alter the outcome before the three-day voting period concludes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRusia Bersatu (ER) 98.2%
Yabloko <1%
Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR) <1%
Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF) <1%
$3,185,268 Vol.
$3,185,268 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Rusia Bersatu (ER)
98%
Yabloko
1%
Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR)
1%
Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF)
1%
New People (NL)
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Rusia Bersatu (ER) 98.2%
Yabloko <1%
Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR) <1%
Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF) <1%
$3,185,268 Vol.
$3,185,268 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Rusia Bersatu (ER)
$802,796 Vol.
98%
Yabloko
$32,428 Vol.
1%
Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR)
$205,961 Vol.
1%
Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF)
$163,359 Vol.
1%
New People (NL)
$138,483 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$736,126 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$502,708 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$603,407 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched control over single-member districts, administrative resources, and party-list mechanisms within Russia's managed electoral system. The ruling party benefits from high name recognition tied to the presidential administration, recent internal restructuring to centralize operations ahead of the vote, and the marginalization of non-systemic opposition through legal and regulatory barriers. Systemic parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, LDPR, and others face limited independent media access and voter mobilization constraints, resulting in persistently low polling shares. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the predictable mechanics of the hybrid regime, where only major unforeseen disruptions—such as sudden elite fractures, sharp economic deterioration, or battlefield reversals—could realistically alter the outcome before the three-day voting period concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,185,268Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched control over single-member districts, administrative resources, and party-list mechanisms within Russia's managed electoral system. The ruling party benefits from high name recognition tied to the presidential administration, recent internal restructuring to centralize operations ahead of the vote, and the marginalization of non-systemic opposition through legal and regulatory barriers. Systemic parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, LDPR, and others face limited independent media access and voter mobilization constraints, resulting in persistently low polling shares. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the predictable mechanics of the hybrid regime, where only major unforeseen disruptions—such as sudden elite fractures, sharp economic deterioration, or battlefield reversals—could realistically alter the outcome before the three-day voting period concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,185,268Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched control over single-member districts, administrative resources, and party-list mechanisms within Russia's managed electoral system. The ruling party benefits from high name recognition tied to the presidential administration, recent internal restructuring to centralize operations ahead of the vote, and the marginalization of non-systemic opposition through legal and regulatory barriers. Systemic parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, LDPR, and others face limited independent media access and voter mobilization constraints, resulting in persistently low polling shares. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the predictable mechanics of the hybrid regime, where only major unforeseen disruptions—such as sudden elite fractures, sharp economic deterioration, or battlefield reversals—could realistically alter the outcome before the three-day voting period concludes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
43%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
83%
Apakah Rusia Bersatu (ER) akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Rusia berikutnya?
71%
Ya
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