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Politics·Primaries

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Elaine Luria 96.4%

James Osyf <1%

Matt Strickler <1%

Burk Stringfellow <1%

Polymarket

$11,757 Vol.

Elaine Luria 96.4%

James Osyf <1%

Matt Strickler <1%

Burk Stringfellow <1%

Polymarket

$11,757 Vol.

Elaine Luria

$4,272 Vol.

96%

James Osyf

$1,617 Vol.

<1%

Matt Strickler

$822 Vol.

<1%

Burk Stringfellow

$821 Vol.

<1%

Nila Devanath

$1,290 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Mosolf

$1,707 Vol.

<1%

Nicolaus Sleister

$1,227 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Elaine Luria holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District due to her prior service representing the district from 2019 to 2023, strong name recognition as a Navy veteran, and early institutional support from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee through its Red to Blue program. She maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $2.8 million raised compared to far smaller totals from challengers such as physician Nila Devanath and others. These factors have consolidated trader consensus around her nomination ahead of a potential rematch with Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant campaign finance issue or sharp shift in primary turnout patterns, would be required to alter the current positioning before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,757
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Elaine Luria holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District due to her prior service representing the district from 2019 to 2023, strong name recognition as a Navy veteran, and early institutional support from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee through its Red to Blue program. She maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $2.8 million raised compared to far smaller totals from challengers such as physician Nila Devanath and others. These factors have consolidated trader consensus around her nomination ahead of a potential rematch with Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant campaign finance issue or sharp shift in primary turnout patterns, would be required to alter the current positioning before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,757
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Elaine Luria" di 96%, diikuti oleh "James Osyf" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 96¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 96% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $11.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Elaine Luria" di 96%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 96% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "James Osyf" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.