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icon for Abbas Araghchi come Ministro degli Affari Esteri dell'Iran da...?
Geopolitica·Iran

Abbas Araghchi come Ministro degli Affari Esteri dell'Iran da...?

icon for Abbas Araghchi come Ministro degli Affari Esteri dell'Iran da...?
Geopolitica·Iran

Abbas Araghchi come Ministro degli Affari Esteri dell'Iran da...?

NUOVO
31 lug 2026
Polymarket

$45 Vol.

Polymarket

31 luglio

$45 Vol.

6%

30 settembre

$0 Vol.

34%

31 dicembre

$0 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Abbas Araghchi remains Iran’s foreign minister as of July 2026, having held the post since his August 2024 appointment under President Masoud Pezeshkian.** Reports from April 2026 indicated that Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sought his removal over allegations he coordinated nuclear talks directly with Revolutionary Guard commanders, bypassing elected officials. Araghchi has stayed active through June, issuing statements on U.S.-Iran ceasefire extensions, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and an MoU covering sanctions relief and nuclear negotiations. Mid-June hardline protests in cities including Mashhad called for his resignation, accusing him of excessive concessions. These events highlight ongoing tensions between reformist cabinet priorities and hardline security apparatus influence during post-conflict diplomacy, with no confirmed dismissal by early July.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Abbas Araghchi remains Iran’s foreign minister as of July 2026, having held the post since his August 2024 appointment under President Masoud Pezeshkian.** Reports from April 2026 indicated that Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sought his removal over allegations he coordinated nuclear talks directly with Revolutionary Guard commanders, bypassing elected officials. Araghchi has stayed active through June, issuing statements on U.S.-Iran ceasefire extensions, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and an MoU covering sanctions relief and nuclear negotiations. Mid-June hardline protests in cities including Mashhad called for his resignation, accusing him of excessive concessions. These events highlight ongoing tensions between reformist cabinet priorities and hardline security apparatus influence during post-conflict diplomacy, with no confirmed dismissal by early July.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Abbas Araghchi come Ministro degli Affari Esteri dell'Iran da...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "30 settembre" a 34%, seguito da "31 dicembre" a 28%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 34¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 34% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Abbas Araghchi come Ministro degli Affari Esteri dell'Iran da...?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 9, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Abbas Araghchi come Ministro degli Affari Esteri dell'Iran da...?", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Abbas Araghchi come Ministro degli Affari Esteri dell'Iran da...?" è "30 settembre" a 34%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 34% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "31 dicembre" a 28%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Abbas Araghchi come Ministro degli Affari Esteri dell'Iran da...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.