Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate mild autumn conditions over Cape Town, with daytime highs expected to reach 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds. These values align with historical May averages of 19–21°C, though recent model runs show slight warming from a transient ridge of high pressure suppressing stronger Atlantic cooling. The market’s emphasis on 21°C and 22°C reflects consensus among ensemble predictions with low precipitation risk and stable sea-surface temperatures around 15–16°C moderating overnight lows near 13–15°C. No significant frontal systems or heat anomalies have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities, leaving traders focused on minor diurnal variations and the final 24-hour model updates before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Capo il 18 maggio?
21°C 41%
22°C 28%
20°C 13.0%
23°C 11%
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
13%
21°C
41%
22°C
28%
23°C
11%
24°C
1%
25°C o superiore
1%
21°C 41%
22°C 28%
20°C 13.0%
23°C 11%
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
13%
21°C
41%
22°C
28%
23°C
11%
24°C
1%
25°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTCurrent forecasts from meteorological models indicate mild autumn conditions over Cape Town, with daytime highs expected to reach 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds. These values align with historical May averages of 19–21°C, though recent model runs show slight warming from a transient ridge of high pressure suppressing stronger Atlantic cooling. The market’s emphasis on 21°C and 22°C reflects consensus among ensemble predictions with low precipitation risk and stable sea-surface temperatures around 15–16°C moderating overnight lows near 13–15°C. No significant frontal systems or heat anomalies have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities, leaving traders focused on minor diurnal variations and the final 24-hour model updates before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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