Forecast consensus from the latest National Weather Service and global models points to a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Chicago on August 24, driven by cooler post-derecho air masses lingering after the August 11 event and moderating lake influences. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 76–79°F ranges, reflecting trader assessment of near-term model runs showing limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies rather than typical late-August peaks near 82°F normals. Key variables include potential afternoon lake breeze suppression of temperatures and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market, with traders monitoring updated short-range guidance for any upward revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 24 agosto?
76-77°F 52%
78-79°F 37%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
69°F o meno
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o superiore
<1%
76-77°F 52%
78-79°F 37%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
69°F o meno
$120 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$208 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$380 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$328 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$1,433 Vol.
52%
78-79°F
$222 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$266 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$143 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$83 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$155 Vol.
<1%
88°F o superiore
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the latest National Weather Service and global models points to a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Chicago on August 24, driven by cooler post-derecho air masses lingering after the August 11 event and moderating lake influences. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 76–79°F ranges, reflecting trader assessment of near-term model runs showing limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies rather than typical late-August peaks near 82°F normals. Key variables include potential afternoon lake breeze suppression of temperatures and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market, with traders monitoring updated short-range guidance for any upward revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,504Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the latest National Weather Service and global models points to a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Chicago on August 24, driven by cooler post-derecho air masses lingering after the August 11 event and moderating lake influences. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 76–79°F ranges, reflecting trader assessment of near-term model runs showing limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies rather than typical late-August peaks near 82°F normals. Key variables include potential afternoon lake breeze suppression of temperatures and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market, with traders monitoring updated short-range guidance for any upward revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,504Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the latest National Weather Service and global models points to a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Chicago on August 24, driven by cooler post-derecho air masses lingering after the August 11 event and moderating lake influences. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 76–79°F ranges, reflecting trader assessment of near-term model runs showing limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies rather than typical late-August peaks near 82°F normals. Key variables include potential afternoon lake breeze suppression of temperatures and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market, with traders monitoring updated short-range guidance for any upward revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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