Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models converge on a high of 77–79°F for Chicago on August 25 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with limited warm-air advection. This consensus, slightly below the 81.7°F climatological average, underpins the dominant 78–81°F market bands. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given stable synoptic conditions and no incoming frontal systems, while historical analogs and short-range guidance show only modest potential for an 80–81°F outcome if afternoon mixing strengthens.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 25 agosto?
80-81°F 49%
78-79°F 33%
82-83°F 14%
76-77°F 4%
71°F o meno
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
4%
30-31°C
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F o superiore
<1%
80-81°F 49%
78-79°F 33%
82-83°F 14%
76-77°F 4%
71°F o meno
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
4%
30-31°C
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models converge on a high of 77–79°F for Chicago on August 25 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with limited warm-air advection. This consensus, slightly below the 81.7°F climatological average, underpins the dominant 78–81°F market bands. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given stable synoptic conditions and no incoming frontal systems, while historical analogs and short-range guidance show only modest potential for an 80–81°F outcome if afternoon mixing strengthens.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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