Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high near 80°F for Chicago on August 27 following a cold front’s passage on the 26th, which shifted winds northwest then northeast and introduced cooler, drier air. This setup favors modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with lake-breeze effects capping temperatures in the mid-70s along the shoreline while inland sites reach the low 80s. Trader emphasis on the 80-81°F bin (56% implied probability) aligns with this narrow forecast envelope, while lower odds on 82-83°F reflect limited upside potential absent stronger insolation or delayed frontal timing. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 27 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 27 agosto?
80-81°F 56%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
73°F o inferiore
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
56%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o superiore
<1%
80-81°F 56%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
73°F o inferiore
$283 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$193 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$94 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$422 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$425 Vol.
56%
82-83°F
$424 Vol.
25%
84-85°F
$128 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$115 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$18 Vol.
<1%
92°F o superiore
$253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high near 80°F for Chicago on August 27 following a cold front’s passage on the 26th, which shifted winds northwest then northeast and introduced cooler, drier air. This setup favors modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with lake-breeze effects capping temperatures in the mid-70s along the shoreline while inland sites reach the low 80s. Trader emphasis on the 80-81°F bin (56% implied probability) aligns with this narrow forecast envelope, while lower odds on 82-83°F reflect limited upside potential absent stronger insolation or delayed frontal timing. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,360Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high near 80°F for Chicago on August 27 following a cold front’s passage on the 26th, which shifted winds northwest then northeast and introduced cooler, drier air. This setup favors modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with lake-breeze effects capping temperatures in the mid-70s along the shoreline while inland sites reach the low 80s. Trader emphasis on the 80-81°F bin (56% implied probability) aligns with this narrow forecast envelope, while lower odds on 82-83°F reflect limited upside potential absent stronger insolation or delayed frontal timing. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,360Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a high near 80°F for Chicago on August 27 following a cold front’s passage on the 26th, which shifted winds northwest then northeast and introduced cooler, drier air. This setup favors modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with lake-breeze effects capping temperatures in the mid-70s along the shoreline while inland sites reach the low 80s. Trader emphasis on the 80-81°F bin (56% implied probability) aligns with this narrow forecast envelope, while lower odds on 82-83°F reflect limited upside potential absent stronger insolation or delayed frontal timing. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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