Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 25°C on May 16 at the primary urban monitoring station, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed daytime heating without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Historical May averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, so the modest peak suggests slightly stronger than usual easterly flow and localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders assigned negligible probability to other thresholds because preliminary data releases and real-time station reports converged rapidly on 25°C, leaving little room for post-observation revisions or alternative measurement interpretations before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,840 Vol.
$302,840 Vol.
16 mag 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,840 Vol.
$302,840 Vol.
16 mag 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$77,401 Vol.
100%
26°C
$43,033 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$39,653 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25,261 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$25,047 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 25°C on May 16 at the primary urban monitoring station, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed daytime heating without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Historical May averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, so the modest peak suggests slightly stronger than usual easterly flow and localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders assigned negligible probability to other thresholds because preliminary data releases and real-time station reports converged rapidly on 25°C, leaving little room for post-observation revisions or alternative measurement interpretations before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$302,840Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 25°C on May 16 at the primary urban monitoring station, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed daytime heating without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Historical May averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, so the modest peak suggests slightly stronger than usual easterly flow and localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders assigned negligible probability to other thresholds because preliminary data releases and real-time station reports converged rapidly on 25°C, leaving little room for post-observation revisions or alternative measurement interpretations before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$302,840Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 25°C on May 16 at the primary urban monitoring station, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed daytime heating without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Historical May averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, so the modest peak suggests slightly stronger than usual easterly flow and localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders assigned negligible probability to other thresholds because preliminary data releases and real-time station reports converged rapidly on 25°C, leaving little room for post-observation revisions or alternative measurement interpretations before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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