Stable high-pressure systems and light northerly flow over the eastern Mediterranean are anchoring Istanbul’s August 13 maximum near 27–28 °C under mostly clear skies, producing the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Ensemble guidance from global and regional models shows only modest spread, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon wind speed determining whether the peak reaches the higher or lower of the two values. Historical August climatology places the long-term mean around 28 °C, but recent short-range runs have trended marginally cooler because of marginally stronger northerlies that enhance mixing and limit surface heating. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological stations, so traders are closely watching the next model update cycle for any shift in the 27–28 °C window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 13 agosto?
27°C 51%
28°C 43%
26°C 5%
29°C 5%
NUOVO
$11,800 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,800 Vol.
13 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
51%
28°C
43%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 43%
26°C 5%
29°C 5%
NUOVO
$11,800 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,800 Vol.
13 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$435 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$568 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$715 Vol.
1%
26°C
$958 Vol.
5%
27°C
$3,279 Vol.
51%
28°C
$1,990 Vol.
43%
29°C
$745 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,012 Vol.
1%
31°C
$620 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,211 Vol.
<1%
33°C o superiore
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems and light northerly flow over the eastern Mediterranean are anchoring Istanbul’s August 13 maximum near 27–28 °C under mostly clear skies, producing the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Ensemble guidance from global and regional models shows only modest spread, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon wind speed determining whether the peak reaches the higher or lower of the two values. Historical August climatology places the long-term mean around 28 °C, but recent short-range runs have trended marginally cooler because of marginally stronger northerlies that enhance mixing and limit surface heating. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological stations, so traders are closely watching the next model update cycle for any shift in the 27–28 °C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$11,800Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems and light northerly flow over the eastern Mediterranean are anchoring Istanbul’s August 13 maximum near 27–28 °C under mostly clear skies, producing the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Ensemble guidance from global and regional models shows only modest spread, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon wind speed determining whether the peak reaches the higher or lower of the two values. Historical August climatology places the long-term mean around 28 °C, but recent short-range runs have trended marginally cooler because of marginally stronger northerlies that enhance mixing and limit surface heating. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological stations, so traders are closely watching the next model update cycle for any shift in the 27–28 °C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,800Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure systems and light northerly flow over the eastern Mediterranean are anchoring Istanbul’s August 13 maximum near 27–28 °C under mostly clear skies, producing the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Ensemble guidance from global and regional models shows only modest spread, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon wind speed determining whether the peak reaches the higher or lower of the two values. Historical August climatology places the long-term mean around 28 °C, but recent short-range runs have trended marginally cooler because of marginally stronger northerlies that enhance mixing and limit surface heating. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological stations, so traders are closely watching the next model update cycle for any shift in the 27–28 °C window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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