Forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and Russian Hydrometeorological Centre runs positions Moscow’s August 13 maximum near 15–17 °C, with 16 °C leading because moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and surface high pressure are expected to limit daytime heating and suppress warm advection. Ensemble spreads reflect boundary-layer mixing uncertainties and possible shifts in frontal timing or light convective showers that could alter the peak by 1–2 °C. Current guidance shows values below the mid-August climatological average of roughly 19–22 °C, consistent with the cooler pattern already evident on August 12. Next model cycles and official observations will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 13 agosto?
16°C 40%
15°C 24%
17°C 23%
14°C 10%
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
24%
16°C
40%
17°C
23%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
16°C 40%
15°C 24%
17°C 23%
14°C 10%
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
24%
16°C
40%
17°C
23%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and Russian Hydrometeorological Centre runs positions Moscow’s August 13 maximum near 15–17 °C, with 16 °C leading because moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and surface high pressure are expected to limit daytime heating and suppress warm advection. Ensemble spreads reflect boundary-layer mixing uncertainties and possible shifts in frontal timing or light convective showers that could alter the peak by 1–2 °C. Current guidance shows values below the mid-August climatological average of roughly 19–22 °C, consistent with the cooler pattern already evident on August 12. Next model cycles and official observations will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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