Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget weather station confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 12°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability amid real-time data releases. Persistent cloud cover and northwest winds suppressed daytime heating, delivering unseasonably cool conditions below the typical May high of around 19°C and aligning closely with pre-event model forecasts anticipating maxima near 13°C. This positioning reflects verified thermometer readings from authoritative stations, with minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from station audits or discrepancies across Paris-area sensors, though historical precedents show such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 14 maggio?
12°C 100.0%
7°C o inferiore <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$204,657 Vol.
$204,657 Vol.
7°C o inferiore
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Sì
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C o superiore
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C o inferiore <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$204,657 Vol.
$204,657 Vol.
7°C o inferiore
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Sì
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget weather station confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 12°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability amid real-time data releases. Persistent cloud cover and northwest winds suppressed daytime heating, delivering unseasonably cool conditions below the typical May high of around 19°C and aligning closely with pre-event model forecasts anticipating maxima near 13°C. This positioning reflects verified thermometer readings from authoritative stations, with minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from station audits or discrepancies across Paris-area sensors, though historical precedents show such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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