Recent forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a maximum temperature in Paris today most likely falling between 15°C and 16°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system bringing northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This narrow model consensus, with limited spread across ensemble runs, accounts for the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes over others. Cooler-than-average conditions for mid-May stem from a lingering maritime air mass, keeping readings below the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 18°C. Any afternoon clearing or slight shift in wind direction could push the peak higher, while increased cloudiness would favor the lower end, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 17 maggio?
16°C 47%
15°C 38%
17°C 13%
14°C 4.0%
$59,442 Vol.
$59,442 Vol.
17 mag 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
38%
16°C
47%
17°C
13%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
15°C 38%
17°C 13%
14°C 4.0%
$59,442 Vol.
$59,442 Vol.
17 mag 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,723 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$5,037 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,852 Vol.
4%
15°C
$6,860 Vol.
38%
16°C
$8,325 Vol.
47%
17°C
$7,177 Vol.
13%
18°C
$5,716 Vol.
1%
19°C
$9,542 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$3,838 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a maximum temperature in Paris today most likely falling between 15°C and 16°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system bringing northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This narrow model consensus, with limited spread across ensemble runs, accounts for the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes over others. Cooler-than-average conditions for mid-May stem from a lingering maritime air mass, keeping readings below the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 18°C. Any afternoon clearing or slight shift in wind direction could push the peak higher, while increased cloudiness would favor the lower end, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$59,442Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a maximum temperature in Paris today most likely falling between 15°C and 16°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system bringing northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This narrow model consensus, with limited spread across ensemble runs, accounts for the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes over others. Cooler-than-average conditions for mid-May stem from a lingering maritime air mass, keeping readings below the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 18°C. Any afternoon clearing or slight shift in wind direction could push the peak higher, while increased cloudiness would favor the lower end, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$59,442Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a maximum temperature in Paris today most likely falling between 15°C and 16°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system bringing northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This narrow model consensus, with limited spread across ensemble runs, accounts for the closely matched market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes over others. Cooler-than-average conditions for mid-May stem from a lingering maritime air mass, keeping readings below the seasonal climatological baseline of roughly 18°C. Any afternoon clearing or slight shift in wind direction could push the peak higher, while increased cloudiness would favor the lower end, with resolution hinging on official 24-hour maximum readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti