Recent meteorological data from Brazilian monitoring agencies show atmospheric conditions over Sao Paulo on May 17 produced a daily maximum temperature near the 22°C mark, anchoring the dominant market-implied probability at 56.6% for that outcome. Late-autumn patterns in the region typically feature cooler southerly flow and reduced insolation, limiting peaks to the low-20s Celsius range absent strong high-pressure warming. With the 23°C-or-higher resolution priced at only 0.3%, traders have priced in stable pressure gradients and consistent model guidance showing no significant heat advection. Official station readings will soon finalize the exact peak for market settlement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 17 maggio?
$62,222 Vol.
$62,222 Vol.
17 mag 2026
22°C
99%
23°C or higher
1%
$62,222 Vol.
$62,222 Vol.
17 mag 2026
22°C
$13,546 Vol.
99%
23°C or higher
$13,672 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data from Brazilian monitoring agencies show atmospheric conditions over Sao Paulo on May 17 produced a daily maximum temperature near the 22°C mark, anchoring the dominant market-implied probability at 56.6% for that outcome. Late-autumn patterns in the region typically feature cooler southerly flow and reduced insolation, limiting peaks to the low-20s Celsius range absent strong high-pressure warming. With the 23°C-or-higher resolution priced at only 0.3%, traders have priced in stable pressure gradients and consistent model guidance showing no significant heat advection. Official station readings will soon finalize the exact peak for market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$62,222Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data from Brazilian monitoring agencies show atmospheric conditions over Sao Paulo on May 17 produced a daily maximum temperature near the 22°C mark, anchoring the dominant market-implied probability at 56.6% for that outcome. Late-autumn patterns in the region typically feature cooler southerly flow and reduced insolation, limiting peaks to the low-20s Celsius range absent strong high-pressure warming. With the 23°C-or-higher resolution priced at only 0.3%, traders have priced in stable pressure gradients and consistent model guidance showing no significant heat advection. Official station readings will soon finalize the exact peak for market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62,222Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRRecent meteorological data from Brazilian monitoring agencies show atmospheric conditions over Sao Paulo on May 17 produced a daily maximum temperature near the 22°C mark, anchoring the dominant market-implied probability at 56.6% for that outcome. Late-autumn patterns in the region typically feature cooler southerly flow and reduced insolation, limiting peaks to the low-20s Celsius range absent strong high-pressure warming. With the 23°C-or-higher resolution priced at only 0.3%, traders have priced in stable pressure gradients and consistent model guidance showing no significant heat advection. Official station readings will soon finalize the exact peak for market settlement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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