**Sunny, stable high-pressure conditions are positioning Seattle’s August 7 high temperature in the mid-80s.** National Weather Service point forecasts for the region currently call for mostly sunny skies and highs near 83–86 °F on the days immediately surrounding August 7, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading in the 84–87 °F bins (combined ~60 % implied probability). A persistent ridge of high pressure over the Pacific Northwest is suppressing cloud cover and limiting marine influence, while light northerly winds allow daytime heating to reach the upper 80s inland before moderating slightly at Sea-Tac. This setup aligns with the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal temperatures driven by a warmer-than-average seasonal outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. No significant frontal systems or marine pushes are expected in the next 24–48 hours, keeping model consensus tight around the current forecast range. The next NWS update and any shift in the 500 mb ridge position will be the primary near-term catalysts for price movement. Historical August highs average ~78 °F, so these elevated readings reflect the ongoing warm anomaly rather than record-challenging heat.