Updated short-range forecasts from MetService New Zealand and regional numerical weather prediction models indicate fine conditions with southeasterly winds for Wellington on May 18, positioning a daytime maximum near 14°C as the most probable outcome. Mid-autumn climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C under stable high-pressure patterns, with Cook Strait moderation limiting sharp swings. Recent model consensus shows no strong northerly flow or warm advection that would push readings to 16°C or above, while light winds and clear skies support modest daytime heating consistent with the 14°C and 15°C contracts. Traders are monitoring the next overnight model updates for any shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 18 maggio?
14°C 49%
15°C 38%
13°C 8.8%
16°C 1.9%
NUOVO
$30,186 Vol.
NUOVO
$30,186 Vol.
18 mag 2026
8°C o meno
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
9%
14°C
49%
15°C
38%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
14°C 49%
15°C 38%
13°C 8.8%
16°C 1.9%
NUOVO
$30,186 Vol.
NUOVO
$30,186 Vol.
18 mag 2026
8°C o meno
$681 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$540 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,720 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,537 Vol.
1%
13°C
$3,964 Vol.
9%
14°C
$3,729 Vol.
49%
15°C
$2,714 Vol.
38%
16°C
$5,152 Vol.
2%
17°C
$2,889 Vol.
1%
18°C o superiore
$1,827 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Updated short-range forecasts from MetService New Zealand and regional numerical weather prediction models indicate fine conditions with southeasterly winds for Wellington on May 18, positioning a daytime maximum near 14°C as the most probable outcome. Mid-autumn climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C under stable high-pressure patterns, with Cook Strait moderation limiting sharp swings. Recent model consensus shows no strong northerly flow or warm advection that would push readings to 16°C or above, while light winds and clear skies support modest daytime heating consistent with the 14°C and 15°C contracts. Traders are monitoring the next overnight model updates for any shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$30,186Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Updated short-range forecasts from MetService New Zealand and regional numerical weather prediction models indicate fine conditions with southeasterly winds for Wellington on May 18, positioning a daytime maximum near 14°C as the most probable outcome. Mid-autumn climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C under stable high-pressure patterns, with Cook Strait moderation limiting sharp swings. Recent model consensus shows no strong northerly flow or warm advection that would push readings to 16°C or above, while light winds and clear skies support modest daytime heating consistent with the 14°C and 15°C contracts. Traders are monitoring the next overnight model updates for any shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,186Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNUpdated short-range forecasts from MetService New Zealand and regional numerical weather prediction models indicate fine conditions with southeasterly winds for Wellington on May 18, positioning a daytime maximum near 14°C as the most probable outcome. Mid-autumn climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C under stable high-pressure patterns, with Cook Strait moderation limiting sharp swings. Recent model consensus shows no strong northerly flow or warm advection that would push readings to 16°C or above, while light winds and clear skies support modest daytime heating consistent with the 14°C and 15°C contracts. Traders are monitoring the next overnight model updates for any shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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