Recent forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on May 18, driven by a passing frontal system bringing southerly winds and increased cloud cover that will limit daytime heating. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 14°C, with daily variability typically confined to a narrow 3–4°C range around that baseline unless a strong high-pressure ridge develops. Current ensemble guidance shows only modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover late in the period, keeping the market-implied probabilities concentrated on 14°C and 15°C. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine wind and cloud forecasts ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 18 maggio?
14°C 44%
15°C 31%
16°C 19%
13°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
8°C o meno
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
12%
14°C
44%
15°C
31%
16°C
17%
17°C
1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
14°C 44%
15°C 31%
16°C 19%
13°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
8°C o meno
$576 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$118 Vol.
1%
11°C
$94 Vol.
1%
12°C
$141 Vol.
4%
13°C
$35 Vol.
12%
14°C
$203 Vol.
44%
15°C
$64 Vol.
31%
16°C
$37 Vol.
17%
17°C
$9 Vol.
1%
18°C o superiore
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on May 18, driven by a passing frontal system bringing southerly winds and increased cloud cover that will limit daytime heating. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 14°C, with daily variability typically confined to a narrow 3–4°C range around that baseline unless a strong high-pressure ridge develops. Current ensemble guidance shows only modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover late in the period, keeping the market-implied probabilities concentrated on 14°C and 15°C. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine wind and cloud forecasts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,625Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on May 18, driven by a passing frontal system bringing southerly winds and increased cloud cover that will limit daytime heating. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 14°C, with daily variability typically confined to a narrow 3–4°C range around that baseline unless a strong high-pressure ridge develops. Current ensemble guidance shows only modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover late in the period, keeping the market-implied probabilities concentrated on 14°C and 15°C. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine wind and cloud forecasts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,625Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNRecent forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on May 18, driven by a passing frontal system bringing southerly winds and increased cloud cover that will limit daytime heating. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 14°C, with daily variability typically confined to a narrow 3–4°C range around that baseline unless a strong high-pressure ridge develops. Current ensemble guidance shows only modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover late in the period, keeping the market-implied probabilities concentrated on 14°C and 15°C. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine wind and cloud forecasts ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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