**Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since his father's death in early 2026, maintains a low public profile amid ongoing regional conflict and reported injuries from prior US-Israeli strikes.** Official accounts such as @khamenei_ir and @MKhamenei_ir have shown limited new activity in recent weeks, with many posts drawing on archived statements rather than fresh content. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed in mid-September that communication with the leader remains difficult, consistent with his absence from public view for months. Trader consensus heavily favors under five posts in the September 18–25 window because current conditions—heightened security, health-related constraints, and focus on non-public decision-making—align with subdued output patterns rather than the higher historical averages seen in calmer periods. A sudden escalation in hostilities, major policy announcement, or verified return to routine statements could increase volume and shift probabilities, though no such catalysts are confirmed for the immediate period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKhamenei # posts 18 settembre - 25 settembre 2026?
Khamenei # posts 18 settembre - 25 settembre 2026?
<5 94%
5-9 3.0%
15-19 2.1%
20-24 2.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
<5
94%
5-9
3%
10-14
1%
15-19
2%
20-24
2%
25-29
2%
30-34
2%
35-39
2%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
1%
Più di 60
1%
<5 94%
5-9 3.0%
15-19 2.1%
20-24 2.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
<5
$747 Vol.
94%
5-9
$60 Vol.
3%
10-14
$105 Vol.
1%
15-19
$105 Vol.
2%
20-24
$105 Vol.
2%
25-29
$105 Vol.
2%
30-34
$111 Vol.
2%
35-39
$118 Vol.
2%
40-44
$138 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$24 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$24 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$21 Vol.
1%
Più di 60
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since his father's death in early 2026, maintains a low public profile amid ongoing regional conflict and reported injuries from prior US-Israeli strikes.** Official accounts such as @khamenei_ir and @MKhamenei_ir have shown limited new activity in recent weeks, with many posts drawing on archived statements rather than fresh content. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed in mid-September that communication with the leader remains difficult, consistent with his absence from public view for months. Trader consensus heavily favors under five posts in the September 18–25 window because current conditions—heightened security, health-related constraints, and focus on non-public decision-making—align with subdued output patterns rather than the higher historical averages seen in calmer periods.
A sudden escalation in hostilities, major policy announcement, or verified return to routine statements could increase volume and shift probabilities, though no such catalysts are confirmed for the immediate period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,675Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since his father's death in early 2026, maintains a low public profile amid ongoing regional conflict and reported injuries from prior US-Israeli strikes.** Official accounts such as @khamenei_ir and @MKhamenei_ir have shown limited new activity in recent weeks, with many posts drawing on archived statements rather than fresh content. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed in mid-September that communication with the leader remains difficult, consistent with his absence from public view for months. Trader consensus heavily favors under five posts in the September 18–25 window because current conditions—heightened security, health-related constraints, and focus on non-public decision-making—align with subdued output patterns rather than the higher historical averages seen in calmer periods.
A sudden escalation in hostilities, major policy announcement, or verified return to routine statements could increase volume and shift probabilities, though no such catalysts are confirmed for the immediate period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,675Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since his father's death in early 2026, maintains a low public profile amid ongoing regional conflict and reported injuries from prior US-Israeli strikes.** Official accounts such as @khamenei_ir and @MKhamenei_ir have shown limited new activity in recent weeks, with many posts drawing on archived statements rather than fresh content. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed in mid-September that communication with the leader remains difficult, consistent with his absence from public view for months. Trader consensus heavily favors under five posts in the September 18–25 window because current conditions—heightened security, health-related constraints, and focus on non-public decision-making—align with subdued output patterns rather than the higher historical averages seen in calmer periods. A sudden escalation in hostilities, major policy announcement, or verified return to routine statements could increase volume and shift probabilities, though no such catalysts are confirmed for the immediate period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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