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Politica·Corea Del Sud

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

icon for Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Politica·Corea Del Sud

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

dic 31

dic 31

8% probabilità
Polymarket

$20,407 Vol.

8% probabilità
Polymarket

$20,407 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party of Korea holds 161 of 300 National Assembly seats, while the main opposition People Power Party controls 110.** South Korea’s constitution requires an impeachment motion to secure a simple majority to propose it and a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes) to pass the Assembly before reaching the Constitutional Court. The current seat distribution makes this threshold unreachable absent large-scale defections from the ruling party, which have not occurred. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for impeachment collected more than 100,000 signatures and advanced to committee review, but observers noted it had negligible prospects of legislative action due to the DPK majority. Lee’s approval rating fell below 50 percent in mid-2026 amid local-election controversies, real-estate policy criticism, and economic concerns, before stabilizing near 45 percent in August 2026 polls; these figures have not triggered sustained cross-party momentum for removal. His criminal trials remain suspended following inauguration. No recent verified developments—such as new charges, major scandals, or opposition coalitions approaching the required votes—have altered the structural barrier. Traders therefore price a high probability that Lee completes his term through the end of 2026 without facing successful impeachment proceedings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$20,407
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party of Korea holds 161 of 300 National Assembly seats, while the main opposition People Power Party controls 110.** South Korea’s constitution requires an impeachment motion to secure a simple majority to propose it and a two-thirds supermajority (200 votes) to pass the Assembly before reaching the Constitutional Court. The current seat distribution makes this threshold unreachable absent large-scale defections from the ruling party, which have not occurred. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for impeachment collected more than 100,000 signatures and advanced to committee review, but observers noted it had negligible prospects of legislative action due to the DPK majority. Lee’s approval rating fell below 50 percent in mid-2026 amid local-election controversies, real-estate policy criticism, and economic concerns, before stabilizing near 45 percent in August 2026 polls; these figures have not triggered sustained cross-party momentum for removal. His criminal trials remain suspended following inauguration. No recent verified developments—such as new charges, major scandals, or opposition coalitions approaching the required votes—have altered the structural barrier. Traders therefore price a high probability that Lee completes his term through the end of 2026 without facing successful impeachment proceedings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$20,407
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 8% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 8¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 8% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?" ha generato $20.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 5, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?" è 8% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 8% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.