Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Busan on September 21 near 18–20°C, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure favoring radiational cooling overnight. This places the outcome near the middle of the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 23°C or higher versus 13°C or below, reflecting trader uncertainty around exact model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average near 19°C, providing context, while upcoming overnight observations and any last-minute forecast revisions from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will determine resolution. Clear conditions reduce the chance of significant deviation from these central estimates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Busan il 21 settembre?
13°C o inferiore 88%
23°C o superiore 83%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
13°C o inferiore
88%
14°C
13%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
29%
18°C
22%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
13%
23°C o superiore
83%
13°C o inferiore 88%
23°C o superiore 83%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
13°C o inferiore
88%
14°C
13%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
29%
18°C
22%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
13%
23°C o superiore
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Busan on September 21 near 18–20°C, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure favoring radiational cooling overnight. This places the outcome near the middle of the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 23°C or higher versus 13°C or below, reflecting trader uncertainty around exact model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average near 19°C, providing context, while upcoming overnight observations and any last-minute forecast revisions from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will determine resolution. Clear conditions reduce the chance of significant deviation from these central estimates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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