Short-term forecast uncertainty amid persistent monsoon moisture and storm activity drives the closely matched Polymarket odds clustered around 26–28°C for Guangzhou’s August 27 nighttime low. In the city’s humid subtropical regime, dew points near 26–28°C and widespread cloud cover from regional flows limit radiative cooling, while variable wind and precipitation timing can shift minima by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 25°C and recent model consensus around 25–27°C support the narrow range, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting reduced likelihood of clear skies or strong advection. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 27 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 27 agosto?
24°C 42%
25°C 42%
29°C 42%
30°C 42%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
21°C o meno
38%
22°C
18%
23°C
38%
24°C
42%
25°C
42%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
42%
30°C
42%
31°C o superiore
2%
24°C 42%
25°C 42%
29°C 42%
30°C 42%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
21°C o meno
$0 Vol.
38%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
42%
25°C
$0 Vol.
42%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
42%
30°C
$0 Vol.
42%
31°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty amid persistent monsoon moisture and storm activity drives the closely matched Polymarket odds clustered around 26–28°C for Guangzhou’s August 27 nighttime low. In the city’s humid subtropical regime, dew points near 26–28°C and widespread cloud cover from regional flows limit radiative cooling, while variable wind and precipitation timing can shift minima by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 25°C and recent model consensus around 25–27°C support the narrow range, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting reduced likelihood of clear skies or strong advection. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty amid persistent monsoon moisture and storm activity drives the closely matched Polymarket odds clustered around 26–28°C for Guangzhou’s August 27 nighttime low. In the city’s humid subtropical regime, dew points near 26–28°C and widespread cloud cover from regional flows limit radiative cooling, while variable wind and precipitation timing can shift minima by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 25°C and recent model consensus around 25–27°C support the narrow range, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting reduced likelihood of clear skies or strong advection. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast uncertainty amid persistent monsoon moisture and storm activity drives the closely matched Polymarket odds clustered around 26–28°C for Guangzhou’s August 27 nighttime low. In the city’s humid subtropical regime, dew points near 26–28°C and widespread cloud cover from regional flows limit radiative cooling, while variable wind and precipitation timing can shift minima by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 25°C and recent model consensus around 25–27°C support the narrow range, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting reduced likelihood of clear skies or strong advection. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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