Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 21 shows near-even odds between 20°C or below and 30°C or higher, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts. Divergent model outputs on nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, humidity, and light winds typical of late-September subtropical conditions drive the split. Recent influences from upper-level troughs and moisture advection from the South China Sea could either enhance overnight cooling or maintain warmer boundary-layer air, widening the diurnal range. Updated runs from global and regional models, plus official observations from Chinese meteorological services, will clarify thresholds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 21 settembre?
20°C o inferiore 92%
30°C o superiore 92%
22°C 38%
23°C 38%
20°C o inferiore
92%
21°C
13%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
21%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
18%
29°C
16%
30°C o superiore
92%
20°C o inferiore 92%
30°C o superiore 92%
22°C 38%
23°C 38%
20°C o inferiore
92%
21°C
13%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
21%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
18%
29°C
16%
30°C o superiore
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 21 shows near-even odds between 20°C or below and 30°C or higher, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts. Divergent model outputs on nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, humidity, and light winds typical of late-September subtropical conditions drive the split. Recent influences from upper-level troughs and moisture advection from the South China Sea could either enhance overnight cooling or maintain warmer boundary-layer air, widening the diurnal range. Updated runs from global and regional models, plus official observations from Chinese meteorological services, will clarify thresholds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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