Uncertainty in short-term forecast models for Hong Kong’s overnight minimum on June 17 drives the closely matched market odds, with traders balancing the potential for enhanced radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and heavy showers against above-normal seasonal temperatures expected this June. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory notes above-normal warmth for the June–August period amid a warming trend, while current patterns of thunderstorms and high humidity—typical for the early monsoon transition—introduce variability in minimum temperatures around the climatological 26–28°C range. Key variables include evolving steering flows, rainfall intensity that could lower readings toward 21°C or below, and any model shifts toward clearer skies supporting 31°C or higher. Updated numerical guidance and observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 17 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 17 giugno?
25°C 39%
26°C 39%
24°C 19%
22°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 giu 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
18%
23°C
1%
24°C
19%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
17%
28°C
15%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 39%
26°C 39%
24°C 19%
22°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 giu 2026
21°C o inferiore
$22 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$15 Vol.
18%
23°C
$22 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$5 Vol.
39%
26°C
$35 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
17%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$22 Vol.
1%
30°C
$22 Vol.
1%
31°C o superiore
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Uncertainty in short-term forecast models for Hong Kong’s overnight minimum on June 17 drives the closely matched market odds, with traders balancing the potential for enhanced radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and heavy showers against above-normal seasonal temperatures expected this June. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory notes above-normal warmth for the June–August period amid a warming trend, while current patterns of thunderstorms and high humidity—typical for the early monsoon transition—introduce variability in minimum temperatures around the climatological 26–28°C range. Key variables include evolving steering flows, rainfall intensity that could lower readings toward 21°C or below, and any model shifts toward clearer skies supporting 31°C or higher. Updated numerical guidance and observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$159Data di fine
17 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Uncertainty in short-term forecast models for Hong Kong’s overnight minimum on June 17 drives the closely matched market odds, with traders balancing the potential for enhanced radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and heavy showers against above-normal seasonal temperatures expected this June. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory notes above-normal warmth for the June–August period amid a warming trend, while current patterns of thunderstorms and high humidity—typical for the early monsoon transition—introduce variability in minimum temperatures around the climatological 26–28°C range. Key variables include evolving steering flows, rainfall intensity that could lower readings toward 21°C or below, and any model shifts toward clearer skies supporting 31°C or higher. Updated numerical guidance and observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$159Data di fine
17 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty in short-term forecast models for Hong Kong’s overnight minimum on June 17 drives the closely matched market odds, with traders balancing the potential for enhanced radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and heavy showers against above-normal seasonal temperatures expected this June. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory notes above-normal warmth for the June–August period amid a warming trend, while current patterns of thunderstorms and high humidity—typical for the early monsoon transition—introduce variability in minimum temperatures around the climatological 26–28°C range. Key variables include evolving steering flows, rainfall intensity that could lower readings toward 21°C or below, and any model shifts toward clearer skies supporting 31°C or higher. Updated numerical guidance and observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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