The overwhelming trader consensus at 99.7% for a 23°C low reflects verified overnight observations from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 23 degrees Celsius on May 17 amid stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical of late spring. These readings, taken at multiple calibrated urban and airport stations, align closely with seasonal climatological averages for May minima near 24°C, where limited radiative cooling under moderate humidity and light winds prevented further drops. This near-certainty leaves scant probability for other thresholds unless rare post-event data revisions arise from instrument recalibration or station discrepancies, scenarios that official protocols have historically minimized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 17 maggio?
23°C 99.6%
18°C o inferiore <1%
28°C o superiore <1%
19°C <1%
$28,510 Vol.
$28,510 Vol.
17 mag 2026
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 99.6%
18°C o inferiore <1%
28°C o superiore <1%
19°C <1%
$28,510 Vol.
$28,510 Vol.
17 mag 2026
18°C o inferiore
$1,271 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,089 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$672 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,816 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,815 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,443 Vol.
100%
24°C
$7,748 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,338 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,117 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$795 Vol.
<1%
28°C o superiore
$2,406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming trader consensus at 99.7% for a 23°C low reflects verified overnight observations from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 23 degrees Celsius on May 17 amid stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical of late spring. These readings, taken at multiple calibrated urban and airport stations, align closely with seasonal climatological averages for May minima near 24°C, where limited radiative cooling under moderate humidity and light winds prevented further drops. This near-certainty leaves scant probability for other thresholds unless rare post-event data revisions arise from instrument recalibration or station discrepancies, scenarios that official protocols have historically minimized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$28,510Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming trader consensus at 99.7% for a 23°C low reflects verified overnight observations from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 23 degrees Celsius on May 17 amid stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical of late spring. These readings, taken at multiple calibrated urban and airport stations, align closely with seasonal climatological averages for May minima near 24°C, where limited radiative cooling under moderate humidity and light winds prevented further drops. This near-certainty leaves scant probability for other thresholds unless rare post-event data revisions arise from instrument recalibration or station discrepancies, scenarios that official protocols have historically minimized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,510Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThe overwhelming trader consensus at 99.7% for a 23°C low reflects verified overnight observations from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 23 degrees Celsius on May 17 amid stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical of late spring. These readings, taken at multiple calibrated urban and airport stations, align closely with seasonal climatological averages for May minima near 24°C, where limited radiative cooling under moderate humidity and light winds prevented further drops. This near-certainty leaves scant probability for other thresholds unless rare post-event data revisions arise from instrument recalibration or station discrepancies, scenarios that official protocols have historically minimized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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