Current forecasts from sources like the Met Office, PredictWind, and WeatherBug indicate Jeddah's September 6 nighttime low will likely reach 28–30°C under typical early-autumn high-pressure patterns and warm Red Sea influences, with minimal cloud cover or wind shifts expected to alter that. Historical September averages near 28°C provide baseline context, while model consensus shows limited cooling potential absent unusual atmospheric changes. This supports the market's 50% implied probability on 25°C or below as reflecting residual forecast uncertainty and trader caution around measurement timing or micro-variations at the official station, rather than a strong cool-signal consensus. Upcoming model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Gedda il 6 settembre?
25°C o inferiore 100%
35°C o superiore 95%
31°C 50%
26°C 49%
25°C o inferiore
100%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
50%
32°C
49%
33°C
49%
34°C
2%
35°C o superiore
95%
25°C o inferiore 100%
35°C o superiore 95%
31°C 50%
26°C 49%
25°C o inferiore
100%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
50%
32°C
49%
33°C
49%
34°C
2%
35°C o superiore
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like the Met Office, PredictWind, and WeatherBug indicate Jeddah's September 6 nighttime low will likely reach 28–30°C under typical early-autumn high-pressure patterns and warm Red Sea influences, with minimal cloud cover or wind shifts expected to alter that. Historical September averages near 28°C provide baseline context, while model consensus shows limited cooling potential absent unusual atmospheric changes. This supports the market's 50% implied probability on 25°C or below as reflecting residual forecast uncertainty and trader caution around measurement timing or micro-variations at the official station, rather than a strong cool-signal consensus. Upcoming model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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