Recent Met Office and European model runs point to clear overnight skies promoting radiative cooling across London, with light northwesterly winds limiting mixing and supporting minimum temperatures near 14–15 °C at urban stations such as Heathrow. Dew points around 8–10 °C and the city’s heat-island effect are tempering deeper drops, while slight disagreements between high-resolution forecasts on cloud timing and boundary-layer winds explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds among 14 °C, 15 °C and 17 °C. Traders are weighting the latest 00–06 UTC model consensus against historical September minima near 11–13 °C, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the Met Office by early Monday.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 20 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 20 settembre?
14°C 42%
15°C 20%
16°C 10%
17°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
13%
14°C
34%
15°C
26%
16°C
10%
17°C
17%
18°C
<1%
19°C o superiore
<1%
14°C 42%
15°C 20%
16°C 10%
17°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
$31 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$31 Vol.
1%
11°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$51 Vol.
3%
13°C
$1,844 Vol.
13%
14°C
$1,727 Vol.
34%
15°C
$2,177 Vol.
26%
16°C
$487 Vol.
10%
17°C
$152 Vol.
17%
18°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
19°C o superiore
$503 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model runs point to clear overnight skies promoting radiative cooling across London, with light northwesterly winds limiting mixing and supporting minimum temperatures near 14–15 °C at urban stations such as Heathrow. Dew points around 8–10 °C and the city’s heat-island effect are tempering deeper drops, while slight disagreements between high-resolution forecasts on cloud timing and boundary-layer winds explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds among 14 °C, 15 °C and 17 °C. Traders are weighting the latest 00–06 UTC model consensus against historical September minima near 11–13 °C, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the Met Office by early Monday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$7,085Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model runs point to clear overnight skies promoting radiative cooling across London, with light northwesterly winds limiting mixing and supporting minimum temperatures near 14–15 °C at urban stations such as Heathrow. Dew points around 8–10 °C and the city’s heat-island effect are tempering deeper drops, while slight disagreements between high-resolution forecasts on cloud timing and boundary-layer winds explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds among 14 °C, 15 °C and 17 °C. Traders are weighting the latest 00–06 UTC model consensus against historical September minima near 11–13 °C, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the Met Office by early Monday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,085Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and European model runs point to clear overnight skies promoting radiative cooling across London, with light northwesterly winds limiting mixing and supporting minimum temperatures near 14–15 °C at urban stations such as Heathrow. Dew points around 8–10 °C and the city’s heat-island effect are tempering deeper drops, while slight disagreements between high-resolution forecasts on cloud timing and boundary-layer winds explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds among 14 °C, 15 °C and 17 °C. Traders are weighting the latest 00–06 UTC model consensus against historical September minima near 11–13 °C, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the Met Office by early Monday.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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