Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and European models indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on September 16, driven by northeasterly winds advecting cooler air and clear skies promoting overnight radiative cooling. This setup favors a minimum near the historical average low of 15.4°C, with model runs converging on 15–18°C depending on exact wind timing and boundary-layer mixing. Trader emphasis on 17–18°C outcomes reflects this consensus, while the notable share on 26°C or higher likely stems from uncertainty over any residual warm advection or delayed frontal passage. Upcoming model updates from ECMWF and GFS overnight will clarify thresholds for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Madrid il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Madrid il 16 settembre?
26°C o superiore 49%
20°C 33%
21°C 33%
22°C 33%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
25%
17°C
30%
18°C
33%
19°C
22%
20°C
33%
21°C
33%
22°C
33%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C o superiore
49%
26°C o superiore 49%
20°C 33%
21°C 33%
22°C 33%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
$100 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
30%
18°C
$0 Vol.
33%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
33%
21°C
$0 Vol.
33%
22°C
$0 Vol.
33%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and European models indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on September 16, driven by northeasterly winds advecting cooler air and clear skies promoting overnight radiative cooling. This setup favors a minimum near the historical average low of 15.4°C, with model runs converging on 15–18°C depending on exact wind timing and boundary-layer mixing. Trader emphasis on 17–18°C outcomes reflects this consensus, while the notable share on 26°C or higher likely stems from uncertainty over any residual warm advection or delayed frontal passage. Upcoming model updates from ECMWF and GFS overnight will clarify thresholds for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$100Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and European models indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on September 16, driven by northeasterly winds advecting cooler air and clear skies promoting overnight radiative cooling. This setup favors a minimum near the historical average low of 15.4°C, with model runs converging on 15–18°C depending on exact wind timing and boundary-layer mixing. Trader emphasis on 17–18°C outcomes reflects this consensus, while the notable share on 26°C or higher likely stems from uncertainty over any residual warm advection or delayed frontal passage. Upcoming model updates from ECMWF and GFS overnight will clarify thresholds for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$100Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and European models indicate a cooling trend for Madrid on September 16, driven by northeasterly winds advecting cooler air and clear skies promoting overnight radiative cooling. This setup favors a minimum near the historical average low of 15.4°C, with model runs converging on 15–18°C depending on exact wind timing and boundary-layer mixing. Trader emphasis on 17–18°C outcomes reflects this consensus, while the notable share on 26°C or higher likely stems from uncertainty over any residual warm advection or delayed frontal passage. Upcoming model updates from ECMWF and GFS overnight will clarify thresholds for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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