Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 74°F early on May 16, locking in near-certain market consensus for the 74-75°F outcome. This aligns with typical late-spring subtropical climatology, where clear skies and light easterly flow allow efficient overnight radiative cooling from the warm Gulf Stream–influenced air mass, producing lows near the seasonal average without significant cold advection. Recent high-pressure dominance suppressed convective activity and cloud cover that might otherwise have elevated overnight readings. Traders assign negligible probability to lower or higher brackets because verified station data leave little room for revision, though an unusually delayed post-sunset temperature drop or localized urban heat-island effects could theoretically shift the final recorded minimum by a degree.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 16 maggio?
74-75°F 100.0%
73°F o inferiore <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$21,355 Vol.
$21,355 Vol.
73°F o inferiore
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o superiore
<1%
74-75°F 100.0%
73°F o inferiore <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$21,355 Vol.
$21,355 Vol.
73°F o inferiore
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAOfficial National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 74°F early on May 16, locking in near-certain market consensus for the 74-75°F outcome. This aligns with typical late-spring subtropical climatology, where clear skies and light easterly flow allow efficient overnight radiative cooling from the warm Gulf Stream–influenced air mass, producing lows near the seasonal average without significant cold advection. Recent high-pressure dominance suppressed convective activity and cloud cover that might otherwise have elevated overnight readings. Traders assign negligible probability to lower or higher brackets because verified station data leave little room for revision, though an unusually delayed post-sunset temperature drop or localized urban heat-island effects could theoretically shift the final recorded minimum by a degree.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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