A heatwave gripping Paris in mid-August 2026, with daytime highs forecast near 37–39°C on the 14th under sunny, light-wind conditions, is the main driver keeping overnight lows in the low-20s°C range. Official guidance from Météo-France and consistent model outputs point to minimum temperatures of 20–22°C as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 15–18°C, so current elevated readings reflect persistent warm advection and clear skies limiting radiative cooling. Traders appear to be pricing limited downside risk absent any late-model shift toward stronger nocturnal cooling before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 14 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 14 agosto?
22°C 46%
21°C 32%
23°C 15%
20°C o inferiore 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
11%
21°C
32%
22°C
46%
23°C
15%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
22°C 46%
21°C 32%
23°C 15%
20°C o inferiore 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
$318 Vol.
11%
21°C
$971 Vol.
32%
22°C
$2,209 Vol.
46%
23°C
$247 Vol.
15%
24°C
$263 Vol.
4%
25°C
$761 Vol.
2%
26°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$172 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$172 Vol.
<1%
30°C o superiore
$182 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A heatwave gripping Paris in mid-August 2026, with daytime highs forecast near 37–39°C on the 14th under sunny, light-wind conditions, is the main driver keeping overnight lows in the low-20s°C range. Official guidance from Météo-France and consistent model outputs point to minimum temperatures of 20–22°C as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 15–18°C, so current elevated readings reflect persistent warm advection and clear skies limiting radiative cooling. Traders appear to be pricing limited downside risk absent any late-model shift toward stronger nocturnal cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,898Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A heatwave gripping Paris in mid-August 2026, with daytime highs forecast near 37–39°C on the 14th under sunny, light-wind conditions, is the main driver keeping overnight lows in the low-20s°C range. Official guidance from Météo-France and consistent model outputs point to minimum temperatures of 20–22°C as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 15–18°C, so current elevated readings reflect persistent warm advection and clear skies limiting radiative cooling. Traders appear to be pricing limited downside risk absent any late-model shift toward stronger nocturnal cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,898Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...A heatwave gripping Paris in mid-August 2026, with daytime highs forecast near 37–39°C on the 14th under sunny, light-wind conditions, is the main driver keeping overnight lows in the low-20s°C range. Official guidance from Météo-France and consistent model outputs point to minimum temperatures of 20–22°C as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 15–18°C, so current elevated readings reflect persistent warm advection and clear skies limiting radiative cooling. Traders appear to be pricing limited downside risk absent any late-model shift toward stronger nocturnal cooling before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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