Republican Rep. Don Bacon’s retirement has opened Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Lean Democratic by multiple forecasters after Kamala Harris carried it by five points in 2024. The May 12 Democratic primary, resolved just days ago, produced nominee Denise Powell, who defeated state Sen. John Cavanaugh in a tight race. Republican Brinker Harding secured his party’s nomination unopposed. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an implied 79% probability of victory in the November general election, reflecting the district’s modest Democratic tilt, the open-seat dynamics, and the absence of an entrenched Republican incumbent. No major late developments have altered this positioning since the primary concluded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NE-02
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NE-02
$27,556 Vol.
$27,556 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
81%
Partito Repubblicano
15%
$27,556 Vol.
$27,556 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$27,289 Vol.
81%
Partito Repubblicano
$267 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Rep. Don Bacon’s retirement has opened Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Lean Democratic by multiple forecasters after Kamala Harris carried it by five points in 2024. The May 12 Democratic primary, resolved just days ago, produced nominee Denise Powell, who defeated state Sen. John Cavanaugh in a tight race. Republican Brinker Harding secured his party’s nomination unopposed. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an implied 79% probability of victory in the November general election, reflecting the district’s modest Democratic tilt, the open-seat dynamics, and the absence of an entrenched Republican incumbent. No major late developments have altered this positioning since the primary concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Volume
$27,556Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Rep. Don Bacon’s retirement has opened Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Lean Democratic by multiple forecasters after Kamala Harris carried it by five points in 2024. The May 12 Democratic primary, resolved just days ago, produced nominee Denise Powell, who defeated state Sen. John Cavanaugh in a tight race. Republican Brinker Harding secured his party’s nomination unopposed. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an implied 79% probability of victory in the November general election, reflecting the district’s modest Democratic tilt, the open-seat dynamics, and the absence of an entrenched Republican incumbent. No major late developments have altered this positioning since the primary concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,556Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Rep. Don Bacon’s retirement has opened Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat rated Lean Democratic by multiple forecasters after Kamala Harris carried it by five points in 2024. The May 12 Democratic primary, resolved just days ago, produced nominee Denise Powell, who defeated state Sen. John Cavanaugh in a tight race. Republican Brinker Harding secured his party’s nomination unopposed. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an implied 79% probability of victory in the November general election, reflecting the district’s modest Democratic tilt, the open-seat dynamics, and the absence of an entrenched Republican incumbent. No major late developments have altered this positioning since the primary concluded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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