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Mondo·Elezioni Globali

Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia

icon for Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia
Mondo·Elezioni Globali

Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia

Magdalena Andersson 65%

Ulf Kristersson 30%

Jimmie Åkesson 3.1%

Ebba Busch <1%

Polymarket

$1,931,683 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 65%

Ulf Kristersson 30%

Jimmie Åkesson 3.1%

Ebba Busch <1%

Polymarket

$1,931,683 Vol.

icon for Magdalena Andersson

Magdalena Andersson

$67,366 Vol.

65%

icon for Ulf Kristersson

Ulf Kristersson

$61,702 Vol.

30%

icon for Jimmie Åkesson

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,343,603 Vol.

3%

icon for Ebba Busch

Ebba Busch

$287,024 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anna-Karin Hatt

Anna-Karin Hatt

$21,427 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amanda Lind

Amanda Lind

$28,643 Vol.

<1%

icon for Simona Mohamsson

Simona Mohamsson

$47,106 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Helldén

Daniel Helldén

$34,590 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nooshi Dadgostar

Nooshi Dadgostar

$21,107 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$19,116 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Magdalena Andersson at 65% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister following the September 13, 2026, general election, reflecting persistent opinion polls showing her Social Democrats (S) leading as the largest party at around 33%, with centre-left blocs (S, V, MP, C) projected over 50% support for a potential majority in the 349-seat Riksdag. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson's Moderates (M) trail at 17-19%, alongside Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-20%, weakening the Tidö government bloc's path to re-election amid proportional representation dynamics requiring coalition negotiations. Late April polls from Demoskop, Ipsos, and Indikator Opinion confirm S's edge, with no major shifts in the past week; upcoming summer campaigning could influence outcomes. Jimmie Åkesson's 3.1% underscores SD's kingmaker role but limited PM prospects.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,931,683
Data di fine
13 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Magdalena Andersson at 65% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister following the September 13, 2026, general election, reflecting persistent opinion polls showing her Social Democrats (S) leading as the largest party at around 33%, with centre-left blocs (S, V, MP, C) projected over 50% support for a potential majority in the 349-seat Riksdag. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson's Moderates (M) trail at 17-19%, alongside Sweden Democrats (SD) at 19-20%, weakening the Tidö government bloc's path to re-election amid proportional representation dynamics requiring coalition negotiations. Late April polls from Demoskop, Ipsos, and Indikator Opinion confirm S's edge, with no major shifts in the past week; upcoming summer campaigning could influence outcomes. Jimmie Åkesson's 3.1% underscores SD's kingmaker role but limited PM prospects.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,931,683
Data di fine
13 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 10 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Magdalena Andersson" a 65%, seguito da "Ulf Kristersson" a 30%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 65¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 65% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia" ha generato $1.9 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 19, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia", esplora i 10 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia" è "Magdalena Andersson" a 65%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 65% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ulf Kristersson" a 30%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Prossimo Primo Ministro della Svezia" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.