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Elezioni·Elezioni Sindaco

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Elezioni·Elezioni Sindaco

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sutcliffe 72%

Jeff Leiper 22%

Neil Saravanamuttoo 1.9%

Alex Lawson <1%

Polymarket

$12,577 Vol.

Mark Sutcliffe 72%

Jeff Leiper 22%

Neil Saravanamuttoo 1.9%

Alex Lawson <1%

Polymarket

$12,577 Vol.

icon for Mark Sutcliffe

Mark Sutcliffe

$6,291 Vol.

72%

icon for Jeff Leiper

Jeff Leiper

$1,957 Vol.

22%

icon for Neil Saravanamuttoo

Neil Saravanamuttoo

$1,189 Vol.

2%

icon for Alex Lawson

Alex Lawson

$1,351 Vol.

1%

icon for Catherine McKenney

Catherine McKenney

$1,789 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe commands 71.5% trader consensus for re-election on October 26, reflecting strong incumbency advantage and a fragmented opposition field that splits challenger votes in Ottawa's first-past-the-post mayoral contest. Nominations opened May 1 with three candidates filing immediately—Councillor Jeff Leiper at 21.5%, activist Alex Lawson at 1.8%, and economist Neil Saravanamuttoo at 1.9%—prompting early campaign launches while Sutcliffe delays official entry, citing the "real campaign" months away. A mid-April Liaison Strategies poll (n=1,000) revealed majority disapproval of his handling of housing, transit, and homelessness, with vote intentions among decided voters showing Sutcliffe at 46% over Leiper's 37% amid 48% undecided, yet markets price in his name recognition and low challenger consolidation ahead of potential additional entrants like Councillor Tim Tierney.

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Volume
$12,577
Data di fine
26 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe commands 71.5% trader consensus for re-election on October 26, reflecting strong incumbency advantage and a fragmented opposition field that splits challenger votes in Ottawa's first-past-the-post mayoral contest. Nominations opened May 1 with three candidates filing immediately—Councillor Jeff Leiper at 21.5%, activist Alex Lawson at 1.8%, and economist Neil Saravanamuttoo at 1.9%—prompting early campaign launches while Sutcliffe delays official entry, citing the "real campaign" months away. A mid-April Liaison Strategies poll (n=1,000) revealed majority disapproval of his handling of housing, transit, and homelessness, with vote intentions among decided voters showing Sutcliffe at 46% over Leiper's 37% amid 48% undecided, yet markets price in his name recognition and low challenger consolidation ahead of potential additional entrants like Councillor Tim Tierney.

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Volume
$12,577
Data di fine
26 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.

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Domande frequenti

"Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Mark Sutcliffe" a 72%, seguito da "Jeff Leiper" a 22%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 72¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 72% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner" ha generato $12.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 2, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner" è "Mark Sutcliffe" a 72%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 72% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Jeff Leiper" a 22%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.