Trader consensus reflects an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russian president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his constitutionally secured term until 2030 and absence of verifiable mechanisms for early removal. Recent public appearances, including his May 9 Victory Day parade address asserting confidence in Ukraine conflict resolution and a May 12 Kremlin video showing him active in Moscow, have reinforced perceptions of stability despite persistent health rumors and waning approval ratings ahead of September parliamentary elections. Ongoing military strikes and elite reshuffles signal consolidated control, with analysts noting Kremlin insiders lack viable paths to oust him absent a major crisis like health collapse or war reversal—scenarios traders view as low-probability before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPutin uscirà da presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Putin uscirà da presidente della Russia entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 4%
Sì
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russian president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his constitutionally secured term until 2030 and absence of verifiable mechanisms for early removal. Recent public appearances, including his May 9 Victory Day parade address asserting confidence in Ukraine conflict resolution and a May 12 Kremlin video showing him active in Moscow, have reinforced perceptions of stability despite persistent health rumors and waning approval ratings ahead of September parliamentary elections. Ongoing military strikes and elite reshuffles signal consolidated control, with analysts noting Kremlin insiders lack viable paths to oust him absent a major crisis like health collapse or war reversal—scenarios traders view as low-probability before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$4,270,274Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russian president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his constitutionally secured term until 2030 and absence of verifiable mechanisms for early removal. Recent public appearances, including his May 9 Victory Day parade address asserting confidence in Ukraine conflict resolution and a May 12 Kremlin video showing him active in Moscow, have reinforced perceptions of stability despite persistent health rumors and waning approval ratings ahead of September parliamentary elections. Ongoing military strikes and elite reshuffles signal consolidated control, with analysts noting Kremlin insiders lack viable paths to oust him absent a major crisis like health collapse or war reversal—scenarios traders view as low-probability before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,270,274Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus reflects an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russian president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his constitutionally secured term until 2030 and absence of verifiable mechanisms for early removal. Recent public appearances, including his May 9 Victory Day parade address asserting confidence in Ukraine conflict resolution and a May 12 Kremlin video showing him active in Moscow, have reinforced perceptions of stability despite persistent health rumors and waning approval ratings ahead of September parliamentary elections. Ongoing military strikes and elite reshuffles signal consolidated control, with analysts noting Kremlin insiders lack viable paths to oust him absent a major crisis like health collapse or war reversal—scenarios traders view as low-probability before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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