United Russia’s dominant performance in the September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections, with roughly 58 percent of the national party-list vote and leads in over 200 single-member districts, underpins trader confidence that the party topped the federal list in every Russian region. Preliminary Central Election Commission data across multiple federal subjects show United Russia consistently ahead of the Communists, LDPR, and other parties, often by wide margins, amid restricted ballot access for genuine opposition and record reported turnout near 59 percent. The party’s long-standing control of regional institutions and the tightly managed wartime electoral environment further reinforce this positioning. While final certification is pending and isolated procedural challenges remain theoretically possible, the scale of reported leads leaves little realistic path for reversal under current rules.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
>99% probabilità
$926,217 Vol.
$926,217 Vol.
30 set 2027
Sì
>99% probabilità
$926,217 Vol.
$926,217 Vol.
30 set 2027
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia’s dominant performance in the September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections, with roughly 58 percent of the national party-list vote and leads in over 200 single-member districts, underpins trader confidence that the party topped the federal list in every Russian region. Preliminary Central Election Commission data across multiple federal subjects show United Russia consistently ahead of the Communists, LDPR, and other parties, often by wide margins, amid restricted ballot access for genuine opposition and record reported turnout near 59 percent. The party’s long-standing control of regional institutions and the tightly managed wartime electoral environment further reinforce this positioning. While final certification is pending and isolated procedural challenges remain theoretically possible, the scale of reported leads leaves little realistic path for reversal under current rules.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
Volume
$926,217Data di fine
1 ott 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia’s dominant performance in the September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections, with roughly 58 percent of the national party-list vote and leads in over 200 single-member districts, underpins trader confidence that the party topped the federal list in every Russian region. Preliminary Central Election Commission data across multiple federal subjects show United Russia consistently ahead of the Communists, LDPR, and other parties, often by wide margins, amid restricted ballot access for genuine opposition and record reported turnout near 59 percent. The party’s long-standing control of regional institutions and the tightly managed wartime electoral environment further reinforce this positioning. While final certification is pending and isolated procedural challenges remain theoretically possible, the scale of reported leads leaves little realistic path for reversal under current rules.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$932,968Data di fine
1 ott 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...United Russia’s dominant performance in the September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections, with roughly 58 percent of the national party-list vote and leads in over 200 single-member districts, underpins trader confidence that the party topped the federal list in every Russian region. Preliminary Central Election Commission data across multiple federal subjects show United Russia consistently ahead of the Communists, LDPR, and other parties, often by wide margins, amid restricted ballot access for genuine opposition and record reported turnout near 59 percent. The party’s long-standing control of regional institutions and the tightly managed wartime electoral environment further reinforce this positioning. While final certification is pending and isolated procedural challenges remain theoretically possible, the scale of reported leads leaves little realistic path for reversal under current rules.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti