United Russia holds overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Russia's September 18–20 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and proven strength in single-member districts under the mixed electoral system. Recent preparations, including party primaries, a restructured leadership list led by Dmitry Medvedev, and Central Election Commission scheduling, along with United Russia's clean sweep in 2025 regional contests, have reinforced expectations of another constitutional majority. Fragmented systemic opposition parties face registration hurdles, candidate disqualifications, and limited district-level infrastructure, keeping their prospects minimal. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major late developments such as sharp shifts in elite alignment or unforeseen external shocks within the narrow pre-election window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRussia Unita (ER) 98.4%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) <1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
Yabloko <1%
$3,126,130 Vol.
$3,126,130 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
98%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
<1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 98.4%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) <1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
Yabloko <1%
$3,126,130 Vol.
$3,126,130 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
$775,867 Vol.
98%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
$198,400 Vol.
<1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
$155,474 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$25,897 Vol.
<1%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
$131,765 Vol.
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
$603,407 Vol.
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
$732,784 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$502,576 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia holds overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Russia's September 18–20 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and proven strength in single-member districts under the mixed electoral system. Recent preparations, including party primaries, a restructured leadership list led by Dmitry Medvedev, and Central Election Commission scheduling, along with United Russia's clean sweep in 2025 regional contests, have reinforced expectations of another constitutional majority. Fragmented systemic opposition parties face registration hurdles, candidate disqualifications, and limited district-level infrastructure, keeping their prospects minimal. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major late developments such as sharp shifts in elite alignment or unforeseen external shocks within the narrow pre-election window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,126,130Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia holds overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Russia's September 18–20 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and proven strength in single-member districts under the mixed electoral system. Recent preparations, including party primaries, a restructured leadership list led by Dmitry Medvedev, and Central Election Commission scheduling, along with United Russia's clean sweep in 2025 regional contests, have reinforced expectations of another constitutional majority. Fragmented systemic opposition parties face registration hurdles, candidate disqualifications, and limited district-level infrastructure, keeping their prospects minimal. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major late developments such as sharp shifts in elite alignment or unforeseen external shocks within the narrow pre-election window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,126,130Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Russia's September 18–20 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and proven strength in single-member districts under the mixed electoral system. Recent preparations, including party primaries, a restructured leadership list led by Dmitry Medvedev, and Central Election Commission scheduling, along with United Russia's clean sweep in 2025 regional contests, have reinforced expectations of another constitutional majority. Fragmented systemic opposition parties face registration hurdles, candidate disqualifications, and limited district-level infrastructure, keeping their prospects minimal. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain narrow and would likely require major late developments such as sharp shifts in elite alignment or unforeseen external shocks within the narrow pre-election window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
83%
Il partito Russia Unita (ER) otterrà il maggior numero di seggi nelle prossime elezioni parlamentari russe?
67%
Sì
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti