Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with surveys from late August and early September 2026 showing figures such as 38 percent (TIPP), 37 percent (Reuters/Ipsos), and 33–40 percent across other national samples. Trader consensus on the 37.5–38.9 ranges aligns with these results and the limited movement observed since summer, as economic dissatisfaction—particularly on cost of living, gas prices, and tariffs—continues to weigh on overall ratings. No major new events in the immediate pre-September 18 window have shifted the picture, leaving the distribution centered on modest fluctuations around current levels.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato38,0–38,4 37%
37,5–37,9 27%
38,5–38,9 26%
37,0–37,4 5%
<37,0
5%
37,0–37,4
5%
37,5–37,9
27%
38,0–38,4
37%
38,5–38,9
26%
39,0+
5%
38,0–38,4 37%
37,5–37,9 27%
38,5–38,9 26%
37,0–37,4 5%
<37,0
5%
37,0–37,4
5%
37,5–37,9
27%
38,0–38,4
37%
38,5–38,9
26%
39,0+
5%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with surveys from late August and early September 2026 showing figures such as 38 percent (TIPP), 37 percent (Reuters/Ipsos), and 33–40 percent across other national samples. Trader consensus on the 37.5–38.9 ranges aligns with these results and the limited movement observed since summer, as economic dissatisfaction—particularly on cost of living, gas prices, and tariffs—continues to weigh on overall ratings. No major new events in the immediate pre-September 18 window have shifted the picture, leaving the distribution centered on modest fluctuations around current levels.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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