The closely contested 53% Yes odds on President Trump's portrait appearing on a US Mint 24-karat commemorative gold coin by July 4, 2026, reflect trader consensus balancing March's Commission of Fine Arts approval of the semiquincentennial design—depicting Trump leaning on a desk with clenched fists—against an ongoing federal lawsuit in Oregon District Court. Filed by coin collector James Rickher, the suit claims violation of laws barring living persons on US currency, stalling production pending Judge Karin Immergut's preliminary injunction ruling amid procedural delays. A denial would clear the path for rapid minting ahead of the 250th anniversary, surging Yes probabilities; an injunction or further holds would solidify No amid the tight timeline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$16,660 Vol.
$16,660 Vol.
4 lug 2026
Sì
$16,660 Vol.
$16,660 Vol.
4 lug 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested 53% Yes odds on President Trump's portrait appearing on a US Mint 24-karat commemorative gold coin by July 4, 2026, reflect trader consensus balancing March's Commission of Fine Arts approval of the semiquincentennial design—depicting Trump leaning on a desk with clenched fists—against an ongoing federal lawsuit in Oregon District Court. Filed by coin collector James Rickher, the suit claims violation of laws barring living persons on US currency, stalling production pending Judge Karin Immergut's preliminary injunction ruling amid procedural delays. A denial would clear the path for rapid minting ahead of the 250th anniversary, surging Yes probabilities; an injunction or further holds would solidify No amid the tight timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
Volume
$16,660Data di fine
4 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested 53% Yes odds on President Trump's portrait appearing on a US Mint 24-karat commemorative gold coin by July 4, 2026, reflect trader consensus balancing March's Commission of Fine Arts approval of the semiquincentennial design—depicting Trump leaning on a desk with clenched fists—against an ongoing federal lawsuit in Oregon District Court. Filed by coin collector James Rickher, the suit claims violation of laws barring living persons on US currency, stalling production pending Judge Karin Immergut's preliminary injunction ruling amid procedural delays. A denial would clear the path for rapid minting ahead of the 250th anniversary, surging Yes probabilities; an injunction or further holds would solidify No amid the tight timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,660Data di fine
4 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The closely contested 53% Yes odds on President Trump's portrait appearing on a US Mint 24-karat commemorative gold coin by July 4, 2026, reflect trader consensus balancing March's Commission of Fine Arts approval of the semiquincentennial design—depicting Trump leaning on a desk with clenched fists—against an ongoing federal lawsuit in Oregon District Court. Filed by coin collector James Rickher, the suit claims violation of laws barring living persons on US currency, stalling production pending Judge Karin Immergut's preliminary injunction ruling amid procedural delays. A denial would clear the path for rapid minting ahead of the 250th anniversary, surging Yes probabilities; an injunction or further holds would solidify No amid the tight timeline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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