Tom Sell's commanding 98.4% implied probability in the TX-19 Republican primary runoff reflects his dominant 40% finish in the March 3 primary—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—bolstered by superior fundraising with $692,000 cash on hand versus Enriquez's $151,000, and endorsements from agricultural groups, House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, and most primary opponents. In this open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington, Sell's ties to West Texas agriculture and former House Ag Committee experience resonate in the rural district. Ahead of the May 26 runoff and early voting, trader consensus prices an upset as unlikely barring a late Trump endorsement for Enriquez or major scandal, given Sell's consolidated establishment support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTom Sell 98.4%
Abraham Enriquez 1.3%
Matthew Smith <1%
Ryan Zink <1%
$72,796 Vol.
$72,796 Vol.
Tom Sell
98%
Abraham Enriquez
1%
Matthew Smith
<1%
Ryan Zink
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
Donald May
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
Tom Sell 98.4%
Abraham Enriquez 1.3%
Matthew Smith <1%
Ryan Zink <1%
$72,796 Vol.
$72,796 Vol.
Tom Sell
98%
Abraham Enriquez
1%
Matthew Smith
<1%
Ryan Zink
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
Donald May
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Sell's commanding 98.4% implied probability in the TX-19 Republican primary runoff reflects his dominant 40% finish in the March 3 primary—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—bolstered by superior fundraising with $692,000 cash on hand versus Enriquez's $151,000, and endorsements from agricultural groups, House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, and most primary opponents. In this open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington, Sell's ties to West Texas agriculture and former House Ag Committee experience resonate in the rural district. Ahead of the May 26 runoff and early voting, trader consensus prices an upset as unlikely barring a late Trump endorsement for Enriquez or major scandal, given Sell's consolidated establishment support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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